MSTX @ $8.59

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,214 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.49 · $36 this cycle
45.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$49
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
-$38
If assigned
-$386,214
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.90/share ($570 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $13.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5029d-$0.60$-1.03 to $-0.4767%58%
Ss Escape$11.9143d+$0.02$-0.40 to $0.2467%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,214 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 22 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.49 · $36 this cycle
45.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$49
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
-$38
If assigned
-$386,214
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.90/share ($570 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $13.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5029d-$0.60$-1.03 to $-0.4767%58%
Ss Escape$11.9143d+$0.02$-0.40 to $0.2467%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,880 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.70 · $120 this cycle
16.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$240
Annualized
113%
EV / cycle
-$29
If assigned
-$386,880
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.23/share ($368 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.55.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0022d-$0.27$-0.64 to $-0.3767%56%
Ss Escape$10.4136d+$0.01$-0.42 to $-0.1071%63%
Safety Up$11.4129d-$0.28$-0.70 to $-0.4176%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,890 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.66 · $60 this cycle
57.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$50
Annualized
24%
EV / cycle
-$52
If assigned
-$385,890
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.49/share ($747 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $14.28.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.5043d-$0.92$-1.39 to $-0.8668%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,890 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.66 · $60 this cycle
57.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$50
Annualized
24%
EV / cycle
-$52
If assigned
-$385,890
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.49/share ($747 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $14.28.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.5043d-$0.92$-1.39 to $-0.8668%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,631 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.73 / mid $1.19 · $219 this cycle
22.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$183
Annualized
86%
EV / cycle
-$62
If assigned
-$386,631
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.94/share ($581 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $11.10.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5043d-$0.61$-1.09 to $-0.8269%59%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.