MSTX @ $8.78

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,649 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.29 · $51 this cycle
25.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$219
Annualized
101%
EV / cycle
+$15
If assigned
-$386,649
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($207 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $11.61.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0014d+$0.25$0.17 to $0.3467%55%
Up And Out$11.2214d+$0.18$0.09 to $0.2669%58%
Ss Escape$14.2242d+$0.12$-0.12 to $0.1781%77%
Safety Up$16.2242d-$0.13$-0.41 to $-0.1086%85%
Reliable Up$13.2242d+$0.35$0.15 to $0.4278%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,085 (premium included).
Called-away odds7%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.26 · $15 this cycle
48.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
93%
Income / mo
$64
Annualized
30%
EV / cycle
+$6
If assigned
-$386,085
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($245 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.79.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0014d+$0.23$0.20 to $0.4367%55%
Up And Out$13.2214d+$0.16$0.12 to $0.3468%58%
Ss Escape$16.2242d+$0.13$-0.06 to $0.3079%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,895 (premium included).
Called-away odds29%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.42 · $105 this cycle
13.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
71%
Income / mo
$450
Annualized
208%
EV / cycle
+$27
If assigned
-$386,895
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($188 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.61.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0014d+$0.25$0.14 to $0.2667%56%
Up And Out$10.2214d+$0.18$0.06 to $0.1969%59%
Ss Escape$13.2242d+$0.10$-0.20 to $0.0581%79%
Safety Up$15.2235d-$0.33$-0.73 to $-0.4187%86%
Reliable Up$12.2242d+$0.32$0.07 to $0.2978%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,716 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.68 · $84 this cycle
59.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$72
Annualized
33%
EV / cycle
-$16
If assigned
-$385,716
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.46/share ($738 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $14.84.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0042d-$0.76$-1.20 to $-0.6869%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,716 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.68 · $84 this cycle
59.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$72
Annualized
33%
EV / cycle
-$16
If assigned
-$385,716
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.46/share ($738 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $14.84.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0042d-$0.76$-1.20 to $-0.6869%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,475 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.75 / mid $1.15 · $225 this cycle
25.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$193
Annualized
89%
EV / cycle
-$63
If assigned
-$386,475
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.93/share ($580 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $11.65.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0042d-$0.48$-0.90 to $-0.6369%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 11:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.