MSTX @ $7.91

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,460 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.35 · $90 this cycle
45.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$150
Annualized
77%
EV / cycle
+$32
If assigned
-$386,460
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.67/share ($500 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5025d-$0.47$-0.82 to $-0.3668%57%
Safety Up$11.5939d-$0.11$-0.50 to $0.0570%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,460 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.35 · $90 this cycle
45.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$150
Annualized
77%
EV / cycle
+$32
If assigned
-$386,460
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.67/share ($500 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5025d-$0.47$-0.82 to $-0.3668%57%
Safety Up$11.5939d-$0.11$-0.50 to $0.0570%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $9 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,123 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $9 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.59 / mid $0.79 · $177 this cycle
13.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$295
Annualized
151%
EV / cycle
-$4
If assigned
-$387,123
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.30/share ($391 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $9.51.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0025d-$0.30$-0.71 to $-0.4868%58%
Ss Escape$9.0939d+$0.00$-0.45 to $-0.1970%61%
Safety Up$10.0932d-$0.34$-0.79 to $-0.5475%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,265 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.73 · $135 this cycle
51.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$127
Annualized
65%
EV / cycle
+$35
If assigned
-$386,265
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.14/share ($641 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $12.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0039d-$0.73$-1.15 to $-0.6568%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,229 (premium included).
Annualized yield 10.1% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.52 · $21 this cycle
58.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$20
Annualized
10%
EV / cycle
-$62
If assigned
-$386,229
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.22/share ($667 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $13.23.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5039d-$0.79$-1.22 to $-0.6868%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,958 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $1.05 · $192 this cycle
20.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$180
Annualized
92%
EV / cycle
-$52
If assigned
-$386,958
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($507 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $10.06.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5039d-$0.49$-0.94 to $-0.7069%59%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-13 22:13 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.