MSTX @ $8.17

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,460 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.53 · $90 this cycle
40.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$159
Annualized
79%
EV / cycle
+$28
If assigned
-$386,460
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.47/share ($441 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $12.11.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5024d-$0.32$-0.62 to $-0.2467%57%
Ss Escape$11.8345d+$0.17$-0.17 to $0.3071%62%
Safety Up$12.8345d-$0.17$-0.55 to $-0.0775%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,535 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.25 · $15 this cycle
40.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$45
Annualized
22%
EV / cycle
-$4
If assigned
-$386,535
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($332 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $12.12.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5017d-$0.13$-0.36 to $0.0267%56%
Ss Escape$13.8345d+$0.07$-0.25 to $0.2578%73%
Reliable Up$12.8345d+$0.27$-0.02 to $0.4675%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,970 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.79 · $180 this cycle
16.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$318
Annualized
158%
EV / cycle
+$23
If assigned
-$386,970
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.21/share ($364 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $10.02.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5024d-$0.21$-0.56 to $-0.3268%58%
Ss Escape$9.8345d+$0.21$-0.19 to $0.0972%63%
Safety Up$13.3345d-$0.58$-1.11 to $-0.7684%82%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,049 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.53 · $51 this cycle
59.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$49
Annualized
24%
EV / cycle
-$28
If assigned
-$386,049
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.11/share ($634 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $13.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0038d-$0.72$-1.11 to $-0.6068%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,049 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.53 · $51 this cycle
59.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$49
Annualized
24%
EV / cycle
-$28
If assigned
-$386,049
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.11/share ($634 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $13.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0038d-$0.72$-1.11 to $-0.6068%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,724 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 45 DTE · bid $0.92 / mid $1.32 · $276 this cycle
22.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$184
Annualized
91%
EV / cycle
-$27
If assigned
-$386,724
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-14 03:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.