MSTX @ $8.64

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,995 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 29 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.67 · $105 this cycle
50.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$109
Annualized
51%
EV / cycle
+$10
If assigned
-$385,995
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.18/share ($654 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $13.71.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0036d-$0.77$-1.21 to $-0.7068%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,938 (premium included).
Annualized yield 5.8% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 29 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.48 · $12 this cycle
56.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$12
Annualized
6%
EV / cycle
-$68
If assigned
-$385,938
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.26/share ($679 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $14.22.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.5036d-$0.83$-1.24 to $-0.6768%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,060 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.62 · $90 this cycle
9.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$338
Annualized
158%
EV / cycle
-$20
If assigned
-$387,060
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.96/share ($288 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.01.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5015d-$0.14$-0.56 to $-0.2667%56%
Ss Escape$10.8643d+$0.07$-0.47 to $-0.0875%70%
Safety Up$11.8643d-$0.19$-0.77 to $-0.3578%75%
Reliable Up$9.8643d+$0.40$-0.07 to $0.2972%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,022 (premium included).
Called-away odds22%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.73 · $78 this cycle
50.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
78%
Income / mo
$65
Annualized
30%
EV / cycle
-$40
If assigned
-$386,022
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.36/share ($709 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $13.72.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0043d-$0.85$-1.34 to $-0.8268%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,022 (premium included).
Called-away odds22%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.73 · $78 this cycle
50.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
78%
Income / mo
$65
Annualized
30%
EV / cycle
-$40
If assigned
-$386,022
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.36/share ($709 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $13.72.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0043d-$0.85$-1.34 to $-0.8268%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,589 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.87 / mid $1.36 · $261 this cycle
21.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$182
Annualized
85%
EV / cycle
-$52
If assigned
-$386,589
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-16 21:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.