MSTX @ $7.71

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,955 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.33 · $45 this cycle
29.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$193
Annualized
101%
EV / cycle
+$20
If assigned
-$386,955
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.95/share ($286 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.58.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0014d-$0.12$-0.45 to $-0.0566%56%
Ss Escape$11.2942d+$0.12$-0.28 to $0.2075%69%
Safety Up$11.7942d-$0.02$-0.46 to $0.0476%72%
Reliable Up$10.7942d+$0.30$-0.08 to $0.4073%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,670 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.28 · $30 this cycle
42.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$129
Annualized
68%
EV / cycle
+$20
If assigned
-$386,670
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.05/share ($314 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.60.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0014d-$0.16$-0.40 to $0.0166%55%
Ss Escape$12.2942d+$0.11$-0.19 to $0.3274%68%
Safety Up$12.7942d-$0.04$-0.37 to $0.1675%71%
Reliable Up$11.7942d+$0.30$0.03 to $0.5173%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $9 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,129 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $9 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.91 · $171 this cycle
16.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$244
Annualized
128%
EV / cycle
-$20
If assigned
-$387,129
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.42/share ($426 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $9.52.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0028d-$0.43$-0.88 to $-0.6168%58%
Ss Escape$8.2935d+$0.03$-0.40 to $-0.1466%52%
Safety Up$10.2942d-$0.56$-1.13 to $-0.7975%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,349 (premium included).
Called-away odds22%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.59 · $51 this cycle
55.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
78%
Income / mo
$44
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
-$63
If assigned
-$386,349
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.29/share ($688 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.64.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0042d-$0.91$-1.36 to $-0.8468%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,349 (premium included).
Called-away odds22%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.59 · $51 this cycle
55.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
78%
Income / mo
$44
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
-$63
If assigned
-$386,349
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.29/share ($688 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.64.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0042d-$0.91$-1.36 to $-0.8468%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,919 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.77 / mid $1.23 · $231 this cycle
23.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$165
Annualized
87%
EV / cycle
-$53
If assigned
-$386,919
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-17 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.