MSTX @ $9.37

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,776 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.45 · $24 this cycle
49.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$31
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$53
If assigned
-$385,776
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.12/share ($635 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $14.69.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0030d-$0.78$-1.17 to $-0.5667%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,776 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.45 · $24 this cycle
49.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$31
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$53
If assigned
-$385,776
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.12/share ($635 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $14.69.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0030d-$0.78$-1.17 to $-0.5667%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,679 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.91 · $171 this cycle
12.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$321
Annualized
139%
EV / cycle
-$33
If assigned
-$386,679
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($417 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.11.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5023d-$0.32$-0.79 to $-0.5268%57%
Ss Escape$10.1337d+$0.12$-0.41 to $-0.1168%56%
Safety Up$12.1337d-$0.53$-1.18 to $-0.8175%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,746 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.62 · $54 this cycle
49.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$54
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
-$47
If assigned
-$385,746
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.23/share ($669 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $14.79.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0037d-$0.74$-1.19 to $-0.6968%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,746 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.62 · $54 this cycle
49.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$54
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
-$47
If assigned
-$385,746
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.23/share ($669 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $14.79.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0037d-$0.74$-1.19 to $-0.6968%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,475 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.75 / mid $1.18 · $225 this cycle
17.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$225
Annualized
97%
EV / cycle
-$41
If assigned
-$386,475
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.75/share ($525 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $11.60.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0037d-$0.49$-0.95 to $-0.6968%58%
Safety Up$11.6337d-$0.71$-1.22 to $-0.9271%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-22 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.