MSTX @ $7.96

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,526 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 28 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.52 · $24 this cycle
44.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$26
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
-$61
If assigned
-$386,526
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.85/share ($556 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $12.12.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5035d-$0.73$-1.15 to $-0.7067%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,697 (premium included).
Annualized yield 6.5% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.24 · $3 this cycle
38.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$13
Annualized
7%
EV / cycle
-$7
If assigned
-$386,697
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.05/share ($314 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.56.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0014d-$0.29$-0.61 to $-0.1165%55%
Ss Escape$12.0442d+$0.01$-0.35 to $0.2273%67%
Reliable Up$11.5442d+$0.20$-0.13 to $0.4271%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,790 (premium included).
Called-away odds31%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 28 DTE · bid $0.70 / mid $0.96 · $210 this cycle
25.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
69%
Income / mo
$225
Annualized
115%
EV / cycle
+$52
If assigned
-$386,790
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.61/share ($484 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.53.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0035d-$0.59$-1.04 to $-0.7067%58%
Safety Up$10.5442d-$0.64$-1.13 to $-0.7671%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,214 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.61 · $36 this cycle
56.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$26
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
-$78
If assigned
-$386,214
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,235 (premium included).
Annualized yield 6.5% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.52 · $15 this cycle
56.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$13
Annualized
7%
EV / cycle
-$81
If assigned
-$386,235
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.21/share ($662 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $13.14.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5042d-$0.94$-1.36 to $-0.8067%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,970 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $1.06 · $180 this cycle
19.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$154
Annualized
79%
EV / cycle
-$65
If assigned
-$386,970
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.68/share ($503 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $9.99.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5042d-$0.61$-1.07 to $-0.8068%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-24 21:43 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.