MSTX @ $7.94

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,096 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.32 · $54 this cycle
19.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$270
Annualized
138%
EV / cycle
+$21
If assigned
-$387,096
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($206 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $9.98.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5013d+$0.13$-0.06 to $0.1667%56%
Up And Out$9.5613d+$0.12$-0.07 to $0.1668%56%
Ss Escape$11.0641d+$0.10$-0.20 to $0.1176%71%
Safety Up$13.0634d-$0.12$-0.45 to $-0.1285%82%
Reliable Up$10.5641d+$0.26$-0.02 to $0.2974%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,841 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.10 · $9 this cycle
32.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$45
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
-$2
If assigned
-$386,841
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($228 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $11.03.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5013d+$0.12$-0.06 to $0.2267%55%
Up And Out$10.5613d+$0.11$-0.06 to $0.2267%56%
Ss Escape$12.0641d+$0.10$-0.19 to $0.2175%70%
Reliable Up$11.5641d+$0.27$0.01 to $0.3973%67%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $8 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,351 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $8 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.51 · $99 this cycle
7.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$495
Annualized
253%
EV / cycle
+$3
If assigned
-$387,351
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($185 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $8.96.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$8.5013d+$0.14$-0.10 to $0.0667%56%
Up And Out$8.5613d+$0.13$-0.11 to $0.0668%57%
Ss Escape$10.0641d+$0.09$-0.28 to $-0.0276%72%
Safety Up$12.0634d-$0.12$-0.51 to $-0.2586%84%
Reliable Up$9.0641d+$0.42$0.10 to $0.3272%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,214 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.55 · $36 this cycle
57.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$26
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
-$63
If assigned
-$386,214
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,235 (premium included).
Annualized yield 6.8% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.45 · $15 this cycle
57.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$13
Annualized
7%
EV / cycle
-$59
If assigned
-$386,235
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.98/share ($593 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $13.12.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5041d-$0.70$-1.03 to $-0.5967%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,970 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.96 · $180 this cycle
19.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$159
Annualized
81%
EV / cycle
-$39
If assigned
-$386,970
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($451 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $9.98.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5041d-$0.43$-0.80 to $-0.5868%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-25 03:31 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.