MSTX @ $8.77

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $11 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,676 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $11 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.17 · $24 this cycle
25.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$103
Annualized
48%
EV / cycle
-$7
If assigned
-$386,676
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($279 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $11.54.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.0014d-$0.19$-0.46 to $-0.1065%55%
Ss Escape$11.7335d+$0.02$-0.30 to $0.1271%64%
Safety Up$12.2335d-$0.02$-0.34 to $0.0873%68%
Reliable Up$11.2342d+$0.32$0.02 to $0.4469%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,091 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.09 · $9 this cycle
48.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$39
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
+$2
If assigned
-$386,091
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.10/share ($330 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $13.74.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0014d-$0.28$-0.55 to $-0.0365%55%
Ss Escape$13.7342d+$0.08$-0.25 to $0.3770%64%
Reliable Up$13.2342d+$0.29$0.01 to $0.6069%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,030 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.55 · $120 this cycle
8.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$514
Annualized
238%
EV / cycle
+$9
If assigned
-$387,030
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($241 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $10.00.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5014d-$0.14$-0.52 to $-0.2665%55%
Ss Escape$10.2335d+$0.04$-0.42 to $-0.1171%65%
Safety Up$12.2335d-$0.34$-0.86 to $-0.5180%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,211 (premium included).
Called-away odds24%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.56 · $39 this cycle
42.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
76%
Income / mo
$33
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
-$92
If assigned
-$386,211
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.85/share ($556 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $13.10.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5042d-$0.66$-1.04 to $-0.6367%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,776 (premium included).
Annualized yield 9.5% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.47 · $24 this cycle
59.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$21
Annualized
10%
EV / cycle
-$57
If assigned
-$385,776
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.08/share ($623 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $14.70.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0042d-$0.80$-1.16 to $-0.6466%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,652 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.66 / mid $1.04 · $198 this cycle
19.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$170
Annualized
78%
EV / cycle
-$50
If assigned
-$386,652
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.56/share ($467 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $11.00.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5042d-$0.49$-0.88 to $-0.6667%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.