MSTX @ $8.00

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,985 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.28 · $15 this cycle
25.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$64
Annualized
33%
EV / cycle
-$10
If assigned
-$386,985
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.92/share ($276 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.52.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0014d-$0.27$-0.63 to $-0.2265%55%
Ss Escape$10.5035d+$0.07$-0.32 to $0.1370%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,844 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.25 · $6 this cycle
31.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$26
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
-$8
If assigned
-$386,844
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.97/share ($290 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.98.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5014d-$0.29$-0.56 to $-0.1865%55%
Ss Escape$11.0035d+$0.06$-0.22 to $0.2070%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,865 (premium included).
Called-away odds28%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.63 · $135 this cycle
25.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
72%
Income / mo
$193
Annualized
98%
EV / cycle
+$20
If assigned
-$386,865
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($394 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $10.49.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0028d-$0.43$-0.79 to $-0.5066%57%
Safety Up$10.5042d-$0.38$-0.79 to $-0.4570%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,514 (premium included).
Called-away odds24%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.58 · $36 this cycle
43.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
76%
Income / mo
$31
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
-$78
If assigned
-$386,514
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.93/share ($579 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $12.04.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5042d-$0.83$-1.25 to $-0.7667%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,235 (premium included).
Annualized yield 5.4% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.54 · $15 this cycle
56.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$11
Annualized
5%
EV / cycle
-$73
If assigned
-$386,235
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,985 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.55 / mid $0.96 · $165 this cycle
18.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$141
Annualized
72%
EV / cycle
-$58
If assigned
-$386,985
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.60/share ($479 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $9.96.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5042d-$0.62$-1.05 to $-0.7967%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-31 21:48 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.