MSTX @ $8.18

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,967 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.18 · $33 this cycle
22.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$165
Annualized
82%
EV / cycle
+$11
If assigned
-$386,967
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($206 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.45.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0013d-$0.09$-0.29 to $-0.0264%55%
Ss Escape$11.3241d+$0.27$0.04 to $0.3575%69%
Safety Up$11.8234d-$0.06$-0.33 to $0.0177%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,838 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.14 · $12 this cycle
28.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$60
Annualized
30%
EV / cycle
-$1
If assigned
-$386,838
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($216 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $11.02.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5013d-$0.10$-0.33 to $-0.0164%55%
Ss Escape$11.8241d+$0.27$0.03 to $0.3875%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $9 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,249 (premium included).
Called-away odds31%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $9 CALL
7 Aug 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.34 · $51 this cycle
10.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
69%
Income / mo
$255
Annualized
126%
EV / cycle
-$17
If assigned
-$387,249
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($186 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $9.44.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.0013d-$0.06$-0.35 to $-0.1364%55%
Ss Escape$10.3241d+$0.25$-0.06 to $0.1776%70%
Safety Up$10.8234d-$0.05$-0.43 to $-0.1577%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,493 (premium included).
Called-away odds24%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.58 · $57 this cycle
40.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
76%
Income / mo
$42
Annualized
21%
EV / cycle
-$60
If assigned
-$386,493
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,235 (premium included).
Annualized yield 5.4% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.47 · $15 this cycle
52.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$11
Annualized
5%
EV / cycle
-$70
If assigned
-$386,235
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,898 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.84 / mid $1.09 · $252 this cycle
16.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$184
Annualized
91%
EV / cycle
+$12
If assigned
-$386,898
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-01 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.