MSTX @ $8.30

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,070 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.32 · $30 this cycle
56.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$53
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$11
If assigned
-$386,070
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.46/share ($438 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $13.62.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0024d-$0.62$-0.90 to $-0.3564%56%
Ss Escape$12.2038d+$0.01$-0.22 to $0.3863%50%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,070 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 17 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.32 · $30 this cycle
56.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$53
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$11
If assigned
-$386,070
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.46/share ($438 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $13.62.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0024d-$0.62$-0.90 to $-0.3564%56%
Ss Escape$12.2038d+$0.01$-0.22 to $0.3863%50%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,054 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 24 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.70 · $96 this cycle
14.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$120
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
-$91
If assigned
-$387,054
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.24/share ($373 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $9.97.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5031d-$0.41$-0.80 to $-0.5866%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,514 (premium included).
Called-away odds24%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.55 · $36 this cycle
38.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
76%
Income / mo
$28
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$69
If assigned
-$386,514
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.79/share ($538 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $12.01.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5045d-$0.75$-1.15 to $-0.7466%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,385 (premium included).
Annualized yield 5.8% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.49 · $15 this cycle
44.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$12
Annualized
6%
EV / cycle
-$71
If assigned
-$386,385
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.87/share ($561 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $12.52.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0045d-$0.80$-1.20 to $-0.7266%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,850 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.85 · $150 this cycle
20.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$118
Annualized
58%
EV / cycle
-$43
If assigned
-$386,850
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.56/share ($467 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $10.46.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0045d-$0.61$-1.05 to $-0.7667%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-04 21:42 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.