MSTX @ $8.70

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,340 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.28 · $60 this cycle
37.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$112
Annualized
52%
EV / cycle
+$21
If assigned
-$386,340
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.28/share ($385 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.57.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0023d-$0.40$-0.63 to $-0.2666%55%
Ss Escape$11.3030d+$0.05$-0.19 to $0.2263%50%
Safety Up$12.3030d-$0.11$-0.34 to $0.0470%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,070 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.32 · $30 this cycle
49.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$56
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$7
If assigned
-$386,070
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($417 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $13.57.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0023d-$0.46$-0.70 to $-0.2366%55%
Ss Escape$12.3037d+$0.13$-0.07 to $0.4364%51%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,913 (premium included).
Called-away odds28%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.37 · $87 this cycle
14.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
72%
Income / mo
$290
Annualized
135%
EV / cycle
+$16
If assigned
-$386,913
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($224 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.50.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0016d-$0.06$-0.30 to $-0.0965%55%
Ss Escape$10.8037d+$0.02$-0.30 to $-0.0371%65%
Safety Up$13.3044d-$0.22$-0.61 to $-0.2982%80%
Reliable Up$10.3030d+$0.38$0.15 to $0.3670%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,367 (premium included).
Called-away odds24%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.47 · $33 this cycle
37.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
76%
Income / mo
$33
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
-$83
If assigned
-$386,367
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.80/share ($540 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $12.58.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0037d-$0.78$-1.20 to $-0.7466%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,235 (premium included).
Annualized yield 5.7% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds22%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.46 · $15 this cycle
43.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
78%
Income / mo
$12
Annualized
6%
EV / cycle
-$85
If assigned
-$386,235
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.80/share ($540 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $13.07.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5044d-$0.66$-1.02 to $-0.6466%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,847 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.83 · $153 this cycle
14.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$153
Annualized
71%
EV / cycle
-$76
If assigned
-$386,847
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($450 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $10.47.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0037d-$0.59$-1.04 to $-0.8067%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.