MSTX @ $8.69

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,058 (premium included).
Called-away odds23%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.64 · $42 this cycle
49.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
77%
Income / mo
$29
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
-$86
If assigned
-$386,058
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,397 (premium included).
Annualized yield 2.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.23 · $3 this cycle
38.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$6
Annualized
3%
EV / cycle
-$38
If assigned
-$386,397
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.33/share ($398 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.56.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0023d-$0.50$-0.78 to $-0.3565%55%
Ss Escape$11.3130d+$0.06$-0.19 to $0.2563%50%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,952 (premium included).
Called-away odds28%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.34 · $48 this cycle
15.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
72%
Income / mo
$160
Annualized
75%
EV / cycle
-$26
If assigned
-$386,952
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($225 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.50.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0016d-$0.14$-0.42 to $-0.1864%55%
Ss Escape$11.3144d+$0.21$-0.10 to $0.1775%69%
Reliable Up$10.3144d+$0.32$0.02 to $0.2870%62%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $13 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,058 (premium included).
Called-away odds23%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $13 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.64 · $42 this cycle
49.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
77%
Income / mo
$29
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
-$86
If assigned
-$386,058
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,235 (premium included).
Annualized yield 5.7% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.53 · $15 this cycle
43.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$12
Annualized
6%
EV / cycle
-$82
If assigned
-$386,235
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.92/share ($575 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $13.11.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5044d-$0.77$-1.18 to $-0.7467%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,859 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.92 · $141 this cycle
15.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$141
Annualized
66%
EV / cycle
-$89
If assigned
-$386,859
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.46/share ($438 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $10.47.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0037d-$0.51$-0.94 to $-0.7267%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 21:44 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.