MSTX @ $8.60

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,355 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.28 · $45 this cycle
39.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$90
Annualized
42%
EV / cycle
+$13
If assigned
-$386,355
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.18/share ($354 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $12.56.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0022d-$0.44$-0.72 to $-0.3664%55%
Ss Escape$11.4029d+$0.07$-0.15 to $0.2163%51%
Safety Up$12.4043d-$0.07$-0.35 to $0.0569%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,355 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.28 · $45 this cycle
39.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$90
Annualized
42%
EV / cycle
+$13
If assigned
-$386,355
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.18/share ($354 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $12.56.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0022d-$0.44$-0.72 to $-0.3664%55%
Ss Escape$11.4029d+$0.07$-0.15 to $0.2163%51%
Safety Up$12.4043d-$0.07$-0.35 to $0.0569%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,955 (premium included).
Called-away odds25%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.33 · $45 this cycle
16.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
75%
Income / mo
$169
Annualized
80%
EV / cycle
-$13
If assigned
-$386,955
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($241 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $10.49.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0015d-$0.18$-0.49 to $-0.2164%55%
Ss Escape$10.4036d+$0.09$-0.24 to $0.0769%62%
Safety Up$11.4043d-$0.11$-0.49 to $-0.1474%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,505 (premium included).
Called-away odds26%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.62 · $45 this cycle
33.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
74%
Income / mo
$38
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
-$76
If assigned
-$386,505
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.75/share ($525 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $12.01.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$11.5043d-$0.71$-1.13 to $-0.7166%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,247 (premium included).
Annualized yield 1.2% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.01 / mid $0.48 · $3 this cycle
45.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$2
Annualized
1%
EV / cycle
-$82
If assigned
-$386,247
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.90/share ($570 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $13.05.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5043d-$0.81$-1.20 to $-0.7566%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,850 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.95 · $150 this cycle
16.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$125
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
-$62
If assigned
-$386,850
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.52/share ($456 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $10.44.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.0043d-$0.57$-1.02 to $-0.7667%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.