MSTX @ $8.48

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,832 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.13 · $18 this cycle
23.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$77
Annualized
37%
EV / cycle
-$4
If assigned
-$386,832
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($253 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $10.96.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$10.5014d+$0.02$-0.22 to $0.1167%55%
Up And Out$10.5214d+$0.01$-0.23 to $0.1067%55%
Ss Escape$12.0242d+$0.00$-0.36 to $0.1075%70%
Reliable Up$11.0242d+$0.32$0.01 to $0.4371%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,370 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.23 · $30 this cycle
41.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$64
Annualized
31%
EV / cycle
+$2
If assigned
-$386,370
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.01/share ($303 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $12.60.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0021d-$0.12$-0.27 to $0.0166%55%
Ss Escape$12.5235d+$0.02$-0.18 to $0.1670%62%
Reliable Up$12.5242d+$0.20$-0.03 to $0.3470%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $387,009 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
28 Aug 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.47 / mid $0.79 · $141 this cycle
12.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$201
Annualized
96%
EV / cycle
-$34
If assigned
-$387,009
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.16/share ($348 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $9.91.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$9.5028d-$0.28$-0.63 to $-0.4367%57%
Ss Escape$9.0235d+$0.03$-0.31 to $-0.1065%52%
Safety Up$10.0235d-$0.35$-0.75 to $-0.5271%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,355 (premium included).
Called-away odds21%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.55 · $45 this cycle
41.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
79%
Income / mo
$39
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
-$35
If assigned
-$386,355
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.72/share ($515 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $12.53.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0042d-$0.53$-0.86 to $-0.5067%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,229 (premium included).
Annualized yield 8.6% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.51 · $21 this cycle
47.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$18
Annualized
9%
EV / cycle
-$45
If assigned
-$386,229
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.79/share ($537 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $13.03.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5042d-$0.57$-0.89 to $-0.4867%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $10 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,778 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $10 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.74 / mid $1.13 · $222 this cycle
17.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$159
Annualized
76%
EV / cycle
-$56
If assigned
-$386,778
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-07 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.