MSTX @ $15.80

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.8%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $19 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,237 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $19 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.40 · $63 this cycle
20.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$270
Annualized
69%
EV / cycle
-$2
If assigned
-$384,237
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.52/share ($455 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $19.87.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.0014d+$0.11$-0.27 to $0.2468%55%
Up And Out$19.2014d+$0.02$-0.37 to $0.1369%56%
Ss Escape$24.2042d+$0.04$-0.61 to $0.1281%77%
Safety Up$25.2042d-$0.13$-0.81 to $-0.0683%80%
Reliable Up$22.2042d+$0.56$0.00 to $0.6678%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $25 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,485 (premium included).
Called-away odds3%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $25 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.24 · $15 this cycle
58.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
97%
Income / mo
$64
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$11
If assigned
-$382,485
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.00/share ($599 total).
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$25.0014d-$0.09-68%54%
Ss Escape$29.2042d+$0.30-78%72%
Safety Up$30.2042d-$0.01-79%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $17 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,696 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $17 CALL
11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.68 / mid $0.94 · $204 this cycle
7.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$874
Annualized
224%
EV / cycle
+$27
If assigned
-$384,696
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.36/share ($407 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $17.80.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.0014d+$0.16$-0.34 to $0.0368%55%
Up And Out$17.2014d+$0.07$-0.45 to $-0.0769%57%
Ss Escape$22.2042d+$0.03$-0.80 to $-0.2182%79%
Safety Up$26.2042d-$0.54$-1.49 to $-0.8188%86%
Reliable Up$20.2042d+$0.51$-0.21 to $0.3178%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,578 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.74 / mid $1.04 · $222 this cycle
51.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$190
Annualized
49%
EV / cycle
+$51
If assigned
-$382,578
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.50/share ($1,050 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $25.05.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0042d-$0.69$-1.13 to $-0.3970%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $25 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,308 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $25 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.95 · $192 this cycle
58.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$165
Annualized
42%
EV / cycle
+$43
If assigned
-$382,308
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.65/share ($1,094 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $26.04.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$25.0042d-$0.78$-1.14 to $-0.3569%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,937 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.71 / mid $1.96 · $513 this cycle
17.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$440
Annualized
113%
EV / cycle
+$107
If assigned
-$383,937
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.70/share ($810 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $19.29.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.5042d-$0.29$-0.74 to $-0.4770%57%
Safety Up$22.7042d-$1.49$-2.16 to $-1.7781%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.