MSTX @ $15.78

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.8%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,913 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.60 · $87 this cycle
26.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$290
Annualized
75%
EV / cycle
+$14
If assigned
-$383,913
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.61/share ($482 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $20.97.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0016d+$0.05$-0.23 to $0.2067%55%
Ss Escape$26.2244d+$0.03$-0.47 to $0.1383%80%
Safety Up$28.2244d-$0.29$-0.88 to $-0.2185%83%
Reliable Up$23.2244d+$0.35$-0.12 to $0.4777%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,037 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.41 · $63 this cycle
45.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$210
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$39
If assigned
-$383,037
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.85/share ($555 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $24.06.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0016d-$0.05$-0.19 to $0.3467%55%
Ss Escape$29.2244d+$0.02$-0.31 to $0.4382%78%
Reliable Up$27.2244d+$0.21$-0.10 to $0.6378%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,525 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.75 / mid $0.95 · $225 this cycle
10.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$750
Annualized
193%
EV / cycle
+$30
If assigned
-$384,525
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.41/share ($422 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $18.37.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.5016d+$0.11$-0.26 to $0.0267%55%
Up And Out$17.7216d+$0.01$-0.39 to $-0.1068%57%
Ss Escape$23.7244d+$0.01$-0.62 to $-0.1784%81%
Safety Up$26.7237d-$0.65$-1.43 to $-0.8888%87%
Reliable Up$20.2244d+$0.56$0.02 to $0.4077%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,608 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.94 · $192 this cycle
52.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$192
Annualized
49%
EV / cycle
+$58
If assigned
-$382,608
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.21/share ($962 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $25.08.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0037d-$0.67$-1.09 to $-0.3968%56%
Ss Escape$22.7244d+$0.26$-0.12 to $0.7166%51%
Safety Up$24.7244d-$0.56$-1.04 to $-0.2471%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $25 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,338 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $25 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.84 · $162 this cycle
58.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$162
Annualized
42%
EV / cycle
+$48
If assigned
-$382,338
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.34/share ($1,002 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $26.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$25.0037d-$0.75$-1.13 to $-0.4168%56%
Ss Escape$23.7244d+$0.19$-0.15 to $0.6766%51%
Safety Up$25.2244d-$0.45$-0.86 to $-0.0569%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,099 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.67 / mid $1.94 · $501 this cycle
14.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$501
Annualized
129%
EV / cycle
+$94
If assigned
-$384,099
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.41/share ($722 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $18.83.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.0037d-$0.28$-0.75 to $-0.4969%57%
Ss Escape$17.7244d+$0.12$-0.40 to $-0.1269%57%
Safety Up$26.2244d-$1.60$-2.42 to $-1.9788%86%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 21:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.