MSTX @ $14.70

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,465 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.58 · $135 this cycle
22.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$506
Annualized
140%
EV / cycle
+$69
If assigned
-$384,465
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.41/share ($422 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $18.86.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.0015d+$0.01$-0.35 to $0.0767%55%
Up And Out$18.3015d+$0.07$-0.25 to $0.1370%57%
Ss Escape$22.3043d+$0.16$-0.39 to $0.1780%75%
Safety Up$26.3043d-$0.35$-0.99 to $-0.3686%85%
Reliable Up$21.8043d+$0.35$-0.17 to $0.3779%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,067 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.20 · $33 this cycle
56.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$124
Annualized
34%
EV / cycle
+$26
If assigned
-$383,067
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.80/share ($540 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $23.94.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0015d-$0.17$-0.28 to $0.3667%54%
Ss Escape$27.3043d+$0.13$-0.20 to $0.6678%73%
Safety Up$29.3043d-$0.05$-0.43 to $0.4482%78%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,987 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.71 / mid $0.88 · $213 this cycle
8.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$799
Annualized
220%
EV / cycle
+$40
If assigned
-$384,987
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.25/share ($375 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $16.76.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0015d+$0.06$-0.35 to $-0.0567%55%
Up And Out$16.3015d+$0.10$-0.26 to $0.0070%58%
Ss Escape$20.3043d+$0.14$-0.49 to $-0.0481%77%
Safety Up$24.3036d-$0.50$-1.20 to $-0.7190%89%
Reliable Up$18.8043d+$0.49$-0.05 to $0.3478%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,866 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.78 / mid $1.03 · $234 this cycle
56.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$195
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$130
If assigned
-$382,866
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.24/share ($971 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $24.02.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0043d-$0.58$-0.94 to $-0.3669%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,866 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.78 / mid $1.03 · $234 this cycle
56.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$195
Annualized
54%
EV / cycle
+$130
If assigned
-$382,866
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.24/share ($971 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $24.02.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0043d-$0.58$-0.94 to $-0.3669%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $17 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,378 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $17 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.74 / mid $1.96 · $522 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$435
Annualized
120%
EV / cycle
+$129
If assigned
-$384,378
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.39/share ($718 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $17.74.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.0043d-$0.17$-0.54 to $-0.3370%57%
Ss Escape$15.8043d+$0.05$-0.39 to $-0.1465%49%
Safety Up$24.3043d-$1.73$-2.42 to $-2.0488%86%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.