MSTX @ $13.74

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $17 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,804 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $17 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.45 · $96 this cycle
23.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$360
Annualized
106%
EV / cycle
+$42
If assigned
-$384,804
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.17/share ($352 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $17.76.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.0015d+$0.08$-0.16 to $0.2166%55%
Ss Escape$21.2643d+$0.01$-0.40 to $0.1280%76%
Safety Up$22.2643d-$0.01$-0.43 to $0.0882%79%
Reliable Up$19.7643d+$0.34$-0.03 to $0.4676%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $19 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,276 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $19 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.22 · $24 this cycle
38.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$90
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$5
If assigned
-$384,276
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($393 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $19.71.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.0015d+$0.03$-0.08 to $0.3766%54%
Ss Escape$23.2643d+$0.00$-0.24 to $0.3679%75%
Safety Up$24.2643d-$0.02$-0.26 to $0.3381%78%
Reliable Up$22.7643d+$0.10$-0.12 to $0.4778%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $15 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,308 (premium included).
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $15 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.79 · $192 this cycle
9.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$720
Annualized
213%
EV / cycle
+$53
If assigned
-$385,308
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.03/share ($310 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $15.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$15.0015d+$0.12$-0.20 to $0.0367%55%
Ss Escape$19.2643d+$0.01$-0.55 to $-0.1481%78%
Safety Up$22.2636d-$0.47$-1.11 to $-0.6587%86%
Reliable Up$17.2643d+$0.43$-0.04 to $0.3176%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,526 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.85 · $174 this cycle
52.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$145
Annualized
43%
EV / cycle
+$17
If assigned
-$383,526
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.78/share ($834 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $21.95.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0043d-$0.61$-0.95 to $-0.3968%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,526 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.85 · $174 this cycle
52.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$145
Annualized
43%
EV / cycle
+$17
If assigned
-$383,526
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.78/share ($834 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $21.95.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0043d-$0.61$-0.95 to $-0.3968%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,828 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.24 / mid $1.55 · $372 this cycle
16.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$310
Annualized
92%
EV / cycle
+$2
If assigned
-$384,828
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.12/share ($635 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $16.71.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0043d-$0.27$-0.64 to $-0.4369%57%
Ss Escape$15.2643d+$0.24$-0.03 to $0.1567%52%
Safety Up$19.2643d-$1.21$-1.78 to $-1.4779%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 21:54 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.