MSTX @ $13.68

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $17 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,810 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $17 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.42 · $90 this cycle
24.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$386
Annualized
114%
EV / cycle
+$53
If assigned
-$384,810
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($394 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $17.79.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.0014d-$0.09$-0.42 to $0.0667%54%
Ss Escape$21.3242d+$0.05$-0.43 to $0.1981%77%
Safety Up$23.3242d-$0.28$-0.82 to $-0.1785%82%
Reliable Up$19.3242d+$0.37$-0.06 to $0.5376%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,537 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.26 · $63 this cycle
31.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$270
Annualized
80%
EV / cycle
+$42
If assigned
-$384,537
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($417 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $18.80.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.0014d-$0.13$-0.42 to $0.1067%54%
Ss Escape$22.3242d+$0.05$-0.38 to $0.2880%76%
Safety Up$23.3242d-$0.15$-0.61 to $0.0882%79%
Reliable Up$21.3242d+$0.26$-0.14 to $0.5078%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $15 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,320 (premium included).
Called-away odds33%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $15 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.73 · $180 this cycle
9.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
67%
Income / mo
$771
Annualized
229%
EV / cycle
+$56
If assigned
-$385,320
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.16/share ($348 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $15.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$15.0014d-$0.03$-0.49 to $-0.1567%54%
Ss Escape$19.3242d+$0.04$-0.60 to $-0.1482%78%
Safety Up$22.3235d-$0.59$-1.35 to $-0.8088%86%
Reliable Up$16.8242d+$0.47$-0.10 to $0.3375%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,493 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.69 / mid $1.00 · $207 this cycle
53.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$148
Annualized
44%
EV / cycle
+$61
If assigned
-$383,493
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,529 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.84 · $171 this cycle
53.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$147
Annualized
43%
EV / cycle
+$37
If assigned
-$383,529
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.93/share ($880 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $21.89.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0042d-$0.67$-1.04 to $-0.4668%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,819 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.27 / mid $1.60 · $381 this cycle
17.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$327
Annualized
97%
EV / cycle
+$25
If assigned
-$384,819
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.24/share ($671 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $16.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0042d-$0.31$-0.72 to $-0.4769%57%
Ss Escape$15.3242d+$0.13$-0.20 to $0.0268%52%
Safety Up$19.3242d-$1.23$-1.80 to $-1.4680%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.