MSTX @ $15.31

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.8%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $19 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,210 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $19 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.42 · $90 this cycle
24.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$386
Annualized
102%
EV / cycle
+$56
If assigned
-$384,210
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.28/share ($384 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $19.87.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.0014d+$0.14$-0.12 to $0.2867%54%
Up And Out$19.1914d+$0.05$-0.22 to $0.1868%56%
Ss Escape$23.6942d+$0.21$-0.24 to $0.3180%76%
Safety Up$25.6942d-$0.15$-0.65 to $-0.0683%81%
Reliable Up$22.6942d+$0.43$0.02 to $0.5578%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,764 (premium included).
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.37 · $36 this cycle
56.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$51
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$21
If assigned
-$382,764
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.61/share ($784 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $25.06.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0028d-$0.48$-0.71 to $-0.0867%55%
Ss Escape$24.1942d+$0.22$-0.02 to $0.7469%58%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,813 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.79 / mid $0.89 · $237 this cycle
7.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$1,016
Annualized
269%
EV / cycle
+$78
If assigned
-$384,813
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($333 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $17.34.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.5014d+$0.18$-0.20 to $0.0867%55%
Up And Out$16.6914d+$0.10$-0.31 to $-0.0168%57%
Ss Escape$21.1942d+$0.18$-0.47 to $-0.0181%78%
Safety Up$24.1928d-$0.75$-1.61 to $-1.0089%88%
Reliable Up$19.6942d+$0.45$-0.14 to $0.2878%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,587 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.71 / mid $0.99 · $213 this cycle
56.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$152
Annualized
40%
EV / cycle
+$32
If assigned
-$382,587
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,638 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.83 · $162 this cycle
56.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$139
Annualized
37%
EV / cycle
+$11
If assigned
-$382,638
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.29/share ($988 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $25.06.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0042d-$0.72$-1.13 to $-0.4768%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,162 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.46 / mid $1.81 · $438 this cycle
17.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$375
Annualized
99%
EV / cycle
+$38
If assigned
-$384,162
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.47/share ($741 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $18.83.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.0042d-$0.30$-0.73 to $-0.4669%57%
Ss Escape$17.1942d+$0.00$-0.41 to $-0.1467%52%
Safety Up$21.6942d-$1.36$-2.00 to $-1.6280%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 22:04 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.