MSTX @ $14.65

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,051 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.62 · $99 this cycle
33.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$165
Annualized
46%
EV / cycle
+$16
If assigned
-$384,051
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.96/share ($587 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $20.42.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.5025d-$0.14$-0.44 to $0.0168%55%
Ss Escape$20.8539d+$0.02$-0.40 to $0.1773%64%
Safety Up$21.3539d-$0.20$-0.66 to $-0.0574%67%
Reliable Up$19.8539d+$0.37$0.01 to $0.5870%59%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,655 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.43 · $45 this cycle
43.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$75
Annualized
21%
EV / cycle
-$2
If assigned
-$383,655
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.11/share ($632 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $21.89.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0025d-$0.21$-0.43 to $0.0468%55%
Ss Escape$21.8539d+$0.14$-0.15 to $0.4471%61%
Safety Up$22.3539d-$0.03$-0.36 to $0.2472%64%
Reliable Up$21.3539d+$0.33$0.07 to $0.6570%59%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,978 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.74 / mid $0.97 · $222 this cycle
9.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$605
Annualized
168%
EV / cycle
+$17
If assigned
-$384,978
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.36/share ($408 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $16.70.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0018d+$0.01$-0.38 to $-0.1467%55%
Ss Escape$18.8539d+$0.00$-0.59 to $-0.2277%72%
Safety Up$22.3539d-$0.62$-1.34 to $-0.8985%83%
Reliable Up$17.3539d+$0.46$-0.05 to $0.2674%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,256 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.78 · $144 this cycle
50.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$135
Annualized
37%
EV / cycle
+$1
If assigned
-$383,256
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.83/share ($848 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $23.04.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$22.0039d-$0.51$-0.85 to $-0.2668%56%
Ss Escape$20.8539d+$0.01$-0.25 to $0.3565%49%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,989 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.68 · $111 this cycle
57.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$104
Annualized
29%
EV / cycle
-$9
If assigned
-$382,989
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.96/share ($887 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $23.97.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0039d-$0.59$-0.86 to $-0.2768%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $17 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,495 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $17 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.35 / mid $1.57 · $405 this cycle
16.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$380
Annualized
105%
EV / cycle
+$42
If assigned
-$384,495
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.19/share ($656 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $17.75.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.0039d-$0.20$-0.58 to $-0.3569%57%
Ss Escape$16.3539d+$0.08$-0.27 to $-0.0567%52%
Safety Up$20.8539d-$1.32$-1.95 to $-1.5980%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-14 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.