MSTX @ $13.76

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,645 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.53 · $105 this cycle
27.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$315
Annualized
93%
EV / cycle
+$53
If assigned
-$384,645
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.45/share ($435 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $18.27.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.5017d-$0.02$-0.29 to $0.1567%55%
Ss Escape$21.2445d+$0.00$-0.46 to $0.1779%74%
Safety Up$23.7445d-$0.27$-0.77 to $-0.1284%81%
Reliable Up$20.2445d+$0.30$-0.12 to $0.4977%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $19 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,270 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $19 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.33 · $30 this cycle
38.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$90
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$14
If assigned
-$384,270
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.58/share ($473 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $19.82.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.0017d-$0.07$-0.28 to $0.2667%55%
Ss Escape$22.2445d+$0.14$-0.19 to $0.4977%72%
Reliable Up$21.7445d+$0.29$-0.02 to $0.6576%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $15 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,275 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $15 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.75 / mid $0.99 · $225 this cycle
9.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$675
Annualized
199%
EV / cycle
+$50
If assigned
-$385,275
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.24/share ($373 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $15.69.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$15.0017d+$0.05$-0.33 to $-0.0768%55%
Ss Escape$18.7445d+$0.01$-0.62 to $-0.2080%76%
Safety Up$23.2438d-$0.74$-1.49 to $-1.0090%89%
Reliable Up$16.7445d+$0.56$0.04 to $0.3975%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,505 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.91 · $195 this cycle
52.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$154
Annualized
45%
EV / cycle
+$59
If assigned
-$383,505
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.98/share ($893 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $21.98.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0045d-$0.58$-0.92 to $-0.4169%57%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,316 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.60 · $84 this cycle
59.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$81
Annualized
24%
EV / cycle
-$1
If assigned
-$383,316
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.84/share ($851 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $22.89.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$22.0038d-$0.59$-0.87 to $-0.2768%56%
Ss Escape$20.7445d+$0.27$0.01 to $0.7466%50%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,828 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.24 / mid $1.50 · $372 this cycle
16.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$360
Annualized
106%
EV / cycle
+$55
If assigned
-$384,828
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.06/share ($619 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $16.68.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0038d-$0.19$-0.55 to $-0.3469%57%
Ss Escape$15.7445d+$0.24$-0.13 to $0.0969%56%
Safety Up$21.7445d-$1.23$-1.86 to $-1.4985%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-15 21:53 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.