MSTX @ $12.74

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.0%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,143 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.27 · $57 this cycle
25.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$214
Annualized
68%
EV / cycle
+$22
If assigned
-$385,143
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($332 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $16.70.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0015d+$0.00$-0.22 to $0.1466%54%
Ss Escape$19.2643d+$0.01$-0.38 to $0.1378%74%
Safety Up$20.7643d-$0.18$-0.61 to $-0.0782%79%
Reliable Up$18.2643d+$0.30$-0.04 to $0.4576%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,970 (premium included).
Called-away odds8%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.22 · $30 this cycle
57.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
92%
Income / mo
$60
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
+$11
If assigned
-$383,970
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.74/share ($522 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $20.87.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0022d-$0.39$-0.57 to $-0.0866%54%
Ss Escape$21.7643d+$0.04$-0.21 to $0.3873%66%
Reliable Up$21.2643d+$0.21$0.01 to $0.5872%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,656 (premium included).
Called-away odds33%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.59 · $144 this cycle
9.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
67%
Income / mo
$540
Annualized
172%
EV / cycle
+$22
If assigned
-$385,656
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.97/share ($290 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $14.60.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0015d+$0.05$-0.25 to $-0.0166%55%
Ss Escape$17.2643d+$0.02$-0.46 to $-0.1079%75%
Safety Up$21.2643d-$0.45$-1.02 to $-0.6087%86%
Reliable Up$15.7643d+$0.49$0.09 to $0.4075%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $19 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,153 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $19 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.75 · $147 this cycle
49.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$122
Annualized
39%
EV / cycle
+$16
If assigned
-$384,153
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.41/share ($722 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $19.78.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.0043d-$0.56$-0.86 to $-0.3868%56%
Ss Escape$17.7643d+$0.02$-0.22 to $0.2864%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,895 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.62 · $105 this cycle
57.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$88
Annualized
28%
EV / cycle
-$0
If assigned
-$383,895
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.53/share ($760 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $20.85.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0043d-$0.64$-0.94 to $-0.4767%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,278 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.24 / mid $1.48 · $372 this cycle
13.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$310
Annualized
99%
EV / cycle
+$51
If assigned
-$385,278
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.84/share ($551 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $15.11.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.5043d-$0.26$-0.60 to $-0.4268%57%
Ss Escape$13.7643d+$0.05$-0.27 to $-0.1065%51%
Safety Up$18.7643d-$1.21$-1.75 to $-1.4783%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 03:51 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.