MSTX @ $13.47

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.0%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $17 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,864 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $17 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.23 · $36 this cycle
26.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$135
Annualized
41%
EV / cycle
-$1
If assigned
-$384,864
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.15/share ($345 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $17.77.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.0015d-$0.02$-0.26 to $0.1466%54%
Ss Escape$21.0343d+$0.01$-0.39 to $0.1679%76%
Safety Up$21.5343d-$0.09$-0.51 to $0.0580%77%
Reliable Up$20.0343d+$0.25$-0.10 to $0.4277%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,985 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.10 · $15 this cycle
48.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$56
Annualized
17%
EV / cycle
+$8
If assigned
-$383,985
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.35/share ($405 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $20.85.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0015d-$0.12$-0.23 to $0.2465%54%
Ss Escape$23.5343d+$0.11$-0.10 to $0.4777%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,530 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.64 · $120 this cycle
7.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$450
Annualized
135%
EV / cycle
-$33
If assigned
-$385,530
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.98/share ($294 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $15.14.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.5015d+$0.03$-0.32 to $-0.0766%55%
Up And Out$14.5315d+$0.02$-0.34 to $-0.0866%55%
Ss Escape$18.5343d+$0.00$-0.54 to $-0.1781%77%
Safety Up$21.0343d-$0.40$-1.03 to $-0.6086%84%
Reliable Up$17.0343d+$0.41$-0.06 to $0.2777%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,871 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.72 · $129 this cycle
48.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$108
Annualized
32%
EV / cycle
-$7
If assigned
-$383,871
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.48/share ($744 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $20.86.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0043d-$0.49$-0.79 to $-0.3368%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,601 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.62 · $99 this cycle
55.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$83
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
-$12
If assigned
-$383,601
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.60/share ($781 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $21.84.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0043d-$0.56$-0.83 to $-0.3168%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,783 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $1.39 / mid $1.62 · $417 this cycle
18.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$291
Annualized
88%
EV / cycle
+$33
If assigned
-$384,783
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 21:52 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.