MSTX @ $16.08

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.8%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,946 (premium included).
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.26 · $54 this cycle
24.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$231
Annualized
58%
EV / cycle
+$30
If assigned
-$383,946
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.29/share ($386 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $20.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0014d+$0.05$-0.25 to $0.2266%54%
Ss Escape$23.9235d+$0.25$-0.21 to $0.4180%75%
Safety Up$25.9242d-$0.11$-0.67 to $0.0182%79%
Reliable Up$23.4242d+$0.53$0.11 to $0.7178%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,682 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.23 · $18 this cycle
30.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$77
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
-$5
If assigned
-$383,682
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.35/share ($406 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $21.81.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0014d+$0.02$-0.15 to $0.3466%54%
Ss Escape$24.9235d+$0.26$-0.00 to $0.5779%74%
Safety Up$25.9242d-$0.01$-0.32 to $0.3081%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,558 (premium included).
Called-away odds32%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.78 · $192 this cycle
8.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
68%
Income / mo
$823
Annualized
208%
EV / cycle
+$62
If assigned
-$384,558
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.13/share ($338 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $18.23.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.5014d+$0.10$-0.29 to $0.0067%54%
Ss Escape$21.4235d+$0.22$-0.32 to $0.0880%76%
Safety Up$26.4242d-$0.50$-1.24 to $-0.7188%87%
Reliable Up$20.9242d+$0.48$-0.04 to $0.3679%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $25 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,314 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $25 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.62 / mid $0.83 · $186 this cycle
55.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$133
Annualized
34%
EV / cycle
+$31
If assigned
-$382,314
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $25 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,380 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $25 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.65 · $120 this cycle
55.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$103
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$3
If assigned
-$382,380
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.20/share ($960 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $25.98.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$25.0042d-$0.77$-1.11 to $-0.3968%56%
Ss Escape$23.4242d+$0.03$-0.21 to $0.5564%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,027 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.41 / mid $1.71 · $423 this cycle
15.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$363
Annualized
91%
EV / cycle
+$39
If assigned
-$384,027
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.37/share ($711 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $19.25.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.5042d-$0.31$-0.74 to $-0.4869%56%
Ss Escape$17.4242d+$0.20$-0.18 to $0.0566%49%
Safety Up$21.9242d-$1.21$-1.74 to $-1.4580%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-18 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.