MSTX @ $19.89

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.5%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,845 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.49 · $105 this cycle
18.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$525
Annualized
107%
EV / cycle
+$57
If assigned
-$382,845
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.31/share ($392 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $24.41.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.5013d+$0.25$-0.04 to $0.4067%54%
Up And Out$24.1113d+$0.00$-0.40 to $0.1068%59%
Ss Escape$30.6141d+$0.11$-0.48 to $0.2182%80%
Safety Up$33.6141d-$0.33$-1.00 to $-0.2586%85%
Reliable Up$28.1141d+$0.57$0.06 to $0.6978%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $27 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,882 (premium included).
Called-away odds4%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $27 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.26 · $18 this cycle
35.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
96%
Income / mo
$90
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
+$14
If assigned
-$381,882
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($450 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $27.89.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$27.0013d+$0.18$0.09 to $0.5766%54%
Up And Out$27.1113d+$0.11$0.00 to $0.4967%54%
Ss Escape$34.1141d+$0.12$-0.19 to $0.5381%78%
Safety Up$35.1141d-$0.01$-0.33 to $0.4083%80%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,340 (premium included).
Called-away odds32%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.70 / mid $0.81 · $210 this cycle
8.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
68%
Income / mo
$1,050
Annualized
214%
EV / cycle
+$60
If assigned
-$383,340
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.20/share ($359 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $22.31.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.5013d+$0.28$-0.09 to $0.2567%54%
Up And Out$22.1113d+$0.03$-0.44 to $-0.0569%59%
Ss Escape$28.6141d+$0.08$-0.58 to $-0.0583%81%
Safety Up$32.6134d-$0.61$-1.36 to $-0.7791%90%
Reliable Up$26.1141d+$0.52$-0.07 to $0.4279%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $30 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,742 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $30 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.86 / mid $1.21 · $258 this cycle
50.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$189
Annualized
38%
EV / cycle
+$49
If assigned
-$380,742
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $31 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,520 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $31 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.91 · $180 this cycle
55.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$159
Annualized
32%
EV / cycle
+$84
If assigned
-$380,520
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.48/share ($1,043 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $32.33.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$31.0041d-$0.48$-0.78 to $-0.1568%56%
Ss Escape$29.6141d+$0.15$-0.07 to $0.6065%49%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,572 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.76 / mid $2.10 · $528 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$466
Annualized
95%
EV / cycle
+$82
If assigned
-$382,572
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.58/share ($774 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $23.97.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0041d-$0.04$-0.38 to $-0.1769%56%
Ss Escape$22.6141d+$0.07$-0.28 to $-0.0667%54%
Safety Up$30.1141d-$1.74$-2.47 to $-2.0685%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-26 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.