MSTX @ $19.81

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.5%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $26 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,065 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $26 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.78 · $135 this cycle
31.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$225
Annualized
46%
EV / cycle
+$5
If assigned
-$382,065
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.46/share ($737 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $27.11.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$26.0025d-$0.32$-0.70 to $-0.1667%55%
Ss Escape$27.6939d+$0.04$-0.46 to $0.2072%64%
Safety Up$29.1939d-$0.35$-0.90 to $-0.2475%69%
Reliable Up$26.6939d+$0.42$-0.02 to $0.6270%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $30 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,925 (premium included).
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $30 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 18 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.38 · $75 this cycle
51.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$125
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$15
If assigned
-$380,925
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.83/share ($850 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $31.30.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$30.0025d-$0.54$-0.79 to $-0.0667%55%
Ss Escape$31.1939d+$0.07$-0.27 to $0.6071%61%
Reliable Up$30.6939d+$0.30$-0.00 to $0.8570%59%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,253 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.99 / mid $1.16 · $297 this cycle
8.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$810
Annualized
166%
EV / cycle
+$55
If assigned
-$383,253
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($508 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $22.41.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.5018d-$0.03$-0.58 to $-0.2467%55%
Ss Escape$25.6939d+$0.03$-0.75 to $-0.2678%74%
Safety Up$31.6939d-$0.90$-1.90 to $-1.2687%86%
Reliable Up$23.1939d+$0.62$-0.07 to $0.3673%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $30 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,790 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $30 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.70 / mid $0.96 · $210 this cycle
51.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$197
Annualized
40%
EV / cycle
+$43
If assigned
-$380,790
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.53/share ($1,058 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $31.21.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$30.0039d-$0.60$-0.97 to $-0.3368%56%
Ss Escape$28.1939d+$0.19$-0.11 to $0.6264%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $31 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,565 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $31 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.45 / mid $0.82 · $135 this cycle
56.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$127
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
-$17
If assigned
-$380,565
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.64/share ($1,093 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $32.32.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$31.0039d-$0.67$-1.04 to $-0.3268%56%
Ss Escape$29.1939d+$0.12$-0.15 to $0.6264%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,602 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.66 / mid $1.94 · $498 this cycle
16.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$467
Annualized
96%
EV / cycle
+$59
If assigned
-$382,602
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.70/share ($811 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $23.98.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0039d-$0.19$-0.64 to $-0.3668%57%
Ss Escape$22.1939d+$0.17$-0.23 to $0.0467%52%
Safety Up$28.6939d-$1.64$-2.39 to $-1.9482%79%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-28 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.