MSTX @ $19.30

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.5%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,671 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.71 · $129 this cycle
24.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$387
Annualized
81%
EV / cycle
+$50
If assigned
-$382,671
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.92/share ($575 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $25.12.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0017d-$0.02$-0.40 to $0.1667%55%
Ss Escape$28.2038d+$0.06$-0.53 to $0.2078%73%
Safety Up$30.2038d-$0.41$-1.09 to $-0.3082%78%
Reliable Up$26.7038d+$0.40$-0.12 to $0.5975%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $27 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,870 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $27 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.39 · $30 this cycle
39.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$90
Annualized
19%
EV / cycle
+$3
If assigned
-$381,870
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.16/share ($647 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $28.19.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$27.0017d-$0.12$-0.38 to $0.2767%54%
Ss Escape$31.2038d+$0.02$-0.39 to $0.4078%72%
Reliable Up$30.2038d+$0.29$-0.07 to $0.7076%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,415 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $1.27 · $285 this cycle
8.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$855
Annualized
180%
EV / cycle
+$39
If assigned
-$383,415
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.68/share ($503 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $21.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0017d+$0.07$-0.41 to $-0.0767%55%
Ss Escape$25.2038d+$0.06$-0.65 to $-0.1779%74%
Safety Up$31.7038d-$0.82$-1.72 to $-1.1289%88%
Reliable Up$23.2038d+$0.55$-0.08 to $0.3775%67%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $28 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,339 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $28 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.87 / mid $1.16 · $261 this cycle
45.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$253
Annualized
53%
EV / cycle
+$87
If assigned
-$381,339
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.54/share ($1,062 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $29.24.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$28.0038d-$0.59$-1.03 to $-0.3469%56%
Ss Escape$26.2038d+$0.23$-0.13 to $0.6165%47%
Safety Up$28.7038d-$0.86$-1.34 to $-0.6770%59%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $30 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,811 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $30 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.94 · $189 this cycle
55.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$183
Annualized
38%
EV / cycle
+$60
If assigned
-$380,811
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.79/share ($1,138 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $31.32.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$30.0038d-$0.74$-1.10 to $-0.3269%56%
Ss Escape$28.2038d+$0.08$-0.20 to $0.6265%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,866 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.78 / mid $2.15 · $534 this cycle
14.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$517
Annualized
109%
EV / cycle
+$55
If assigned
-$382,866
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.78/share ($835 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $22.97.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$22.0038d-$0.22$-0.68 to $-0.4369%56%
Ss Escape$21.2038d+$0.16$-0.26 to $-0.0167%52%
Safety Up$27.7038d-$1.76$-2.55 to $-2.1283%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-29 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.