MSTX @ $19.03

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.5%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,019 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.55 · $81 this cycle
20.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$270
Annualized
58%
EV / cycle
-$4
If assigned
-$383,019
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($507 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $24.02.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0016d-$0.01$-0.42 to $0.0466%55%
Ss Escape$26.9737d+$0.08$-0.51 to $0.1178%73%
Safety Up$28.4737d-$0.25$-0.91 to $-0.2580%77%
Reliable Up$25.9737d+$0.37$-0.18 to $0.4076%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $29 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,264 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $29 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.43 · $36 this cycle
52.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$67
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
-$8
If assigned
-$381,264
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.63/share ($789 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $30.26.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$29.0023d-$0.44$-0.64 to $0.1767%55%
Ss Escape$30.4737d+$0.09$-0.21 to $0.7972%62%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,613 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.79 / mid $1.14 · $237 this cycle
7.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$790
Annualized
168%
EV / cycle
+$5
If assigned
-$383,613
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.50/share ($451 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $21.38.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.5016d+$0.05$-0.42 to $-0.1066%55%
Ss Escape$24.4737d+$0.08$-0.60 to $-0.1579%74%
Safety Up$29.4737d-$0.75$-1.62 to $-1.0587%86%
Reliable Up$22.9737d+$0.48$-0.13 to $0.2875%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $27 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,717 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $27 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $0.99 · $183 this cycle
41.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$183
Annualized
39%
EV / cycle
+$41
If assigned
-$381,717
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.26/share ($977 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $28.17.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$27.0037d-$0.53$-0.92 to $-0.3768%56%
Ss Escape$25.4737d+$0.13$-0.20 to $0.4065%48%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $30 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,898 (premium included).
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $30 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.72 · $102 this cycle
57.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$102
Annualized
22%
EV / cycle
+$29
If assigned
-$380,898
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.62/share ($1,086 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $31.20.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$30.0037d-$0.74$-1.11 to $-0.2468%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,935 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.55 / mid $1.90 · $465 this cycle
15.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$465
Annualized
99%
EV / cycle
+$49
If assigned
-$382,935
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.65/share ($796 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $22.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$22.0037d-$0.24$-0.70 to $-0.4169%56%
Ss Escape$20.9737d+$0.20$-0.22 to $0.0666%50%
Safety Up$26.4737d-$1.53$-2.24 to $-1.8380%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-30 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.