MSTX @ $19.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.5%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $28 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,372 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $28 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.76 / mid $1.14 · $228 this cycle
42.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$190
Annualized
39%
EV / cycle
+$65
If assigned
-$381,372
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.34/share ($1,002 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $29.05.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$28.0043d-$0.53$-0.87 to $-0.2768%56%
Ss Escape$26.3843d+$0.11$-0.20 to $0.4764%48%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $26 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,164 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $26 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.31 · $36 this cycle
32.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$135
Annualized
28%
EV / cycle
+$14
If assigned
-$382,164
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.58/share ($475 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $27.02.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$26.0015d+$0.07$-0.16 to $0.3466%54%
Ss Escape$30.8836d+$0.03$-0.37 to $0.3079%75%
Reliable Up$29.8843d+$0.61$0.26 to $0.9177%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $21 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,532 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $21 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.56 / mid $0.90 · $168 this cycle
7.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$630
Annualized
130%
EV / cycle
-$49
If assigned
-$383,532
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.28/share ($384 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $21.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$21.0015d+$0.17$-0.22 to $0.0766%54%
Ss Escape$25.8836d+$0.03$-0.60 to $-0.1581%77%
Safety Up$28.3836d-$0.42$-1.16 to $-0.6686%84%
Reliable Up$24.8843d+$0.55$-0.02 to $0.3978%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $28 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,372 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $28 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.76 / mid $1.14 · $228 this cycle
42.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$190
Annualized
39%
EV / cycle
+$65
If assigned
-$381,372
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.34/share ($1,002 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $29.05.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$28.0043d-$0.53$-0.87 to $-0.2768%56%
Ss Escape$26.3843d+$0.11$-0.20 to $0.4764%48%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $31 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,580 (premium included).
Called-away odds13%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $31 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.73 · $120 this cycle
58.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
87%
Income / mo
$100
Annualized
21%
EV / cycle
+$30
If assigned
-$380,580
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.70/share ($1,110 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $32.22.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$31.0043d-$0.75$-1.08 to $-0.3568%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,722 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.76 / mid $2.08 · $528 this cycle
14.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$440
Annualized
91%
EV / cycle
+$66
If assigned
-$382,722
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.68/share ($805 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $23.41.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$22.5043d-$0.20$-0.61 to $-0.3869%56%
Ss Escape$21.3843d+$0.17$-0.24 to $0.0165%50%
Safety Up$26.3843d-$1.33$-1.91 to $-1.5979%74%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-01 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.