MSTX @ $22.16

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.3%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $27 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,828 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $27 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.47 · $72 this cycle
21.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$309
Annualized
56%
EV / cycle
+$8
If assigned
-$381,828
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.48/share ($445 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $28.11.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$27.0014d+$0.33$0.11 to $0.5266%54%
Up And Out$27.8414d+$0.01$-0.29 to $0.1570%60%
Ss Escape$36.8442d+$0.02$-0.53 to $0.1085%82%
Reliable Up$34.8442d+$0.35$-0.14 to $0.4682%79%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $33 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,055 (premium included).
Called-away odds11%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $33 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.38 · $45 this cycle
48.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
89%
Income / mo
$96
Annualized
18%
EV / cycle
-$14
If assigned
-$380,055
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.58/share ($775 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $34.34.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$33.0021d-$0.31$-0.52 to $0.2766%54%
Ss Escape$37.8442d+$0.02$-0.27 to $0.6677%71%
Safety Up$38.8442d-$0.15$-0.46 to $0.4778%73%
Reliable Up$36.8442d+$0.33$0.07 to $0.9875%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,689 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.87 / mid $1.05 · $261 this cycle
6.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$1,119
Annualized
205%
EV / cycle
+$20
If assigned
-$382,689
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.29/share ($387 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $24.52.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.5014d+$0.37$-0.00 to $0.2667%54%
Up And Out$24.3414d+$0.06$-0.39 to $-0.0970%61%
Ss Escape$32.3442d+$0.13$-0.61 to $-0.1285%82%
Safety Up$36.3435d-$0.59$-1.47 to $-0.8990%89%
Reliable Up$29.3442d+$0.65$0.02 to $0.4581%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $35 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $379,215 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $35 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.95 / mid $1.25 · $285 this cycle
57.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$204
Annualized
37%
EV / cycle
+$65
If assigned
-$379,215
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $35 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $379,278 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $35 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.74 / mid $1.04 · $222 this cycle
57.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$190
Annualized
35%
EV / cycle
+$59
If assigned
-$379,278
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.35/share ($1,305 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $36.54.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$35.0042d-$0.88$-1.36 to $-0.4968%56%
Ss Escape$32.8442d+$0.07$-0.28 to $0.6564%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $26 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,675 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $26 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $2.25 / mid $2.53 · $675 this cycle
15.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$579
Annualized
106%
EV / cycle
+$103
If assigned
-$381,675
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.17/share ($951 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $26.57.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$25.5042d-$0.26$-0.77 to $-0.4969%57%
Ss Escape$24.8442d+$0.00$-0.49 to $-0.2167%54%
Safety Up$34.3442d-$2.24$-3.16 to $-2.6786%85%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-02 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.