MSTX @ $20.25

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $25 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,398 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $25 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.57 · $102 this cycle
23.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$278
Annualized
56%
EV / cycle
+$24
If assigned
-$382,398
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.89/share ($567 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $25.93.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$25.0018d-$0.07$-0.44 to $0.0767%54%
Ss Escape$29.2539d+$0.11$-0.40 to $0.2478%73%
Safety Up$30.7539d-$0.23$-0.80 to $-0.1481%77%
Reliable Up$28.2539d+$0.37$-0.10 to $0.5376%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $28 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,552 (premium included).
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $28 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.33 · $48 this cycle
38.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$131
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$17
If assigned
-$381,552
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.12/share ($635 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $28.91.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$28.0018d-$0.18$-0.35 to $0.2667%54%
Ss Escape$32.2539d+$0.07$-0.19 to $0.5377%72%
Reliable Up$31.2539d+$0.35$0.11 to $0.8376%69%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $22 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,124 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $22 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.92 / mid $1.24 · $276 this cycle
8.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$753
Annualized
151%
EV / cycle
+$52
If assigned
-$383,124
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.66/share ($499 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $22.86.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$22.0018d+$0.01$-0.50 to $-0.1567%55%
Ss Escape$26.2539d+$0.11$-0.60 to $-0.1279%74%
Safety Up$31.7539d-$0.84$-1.76 to $-1.1388%86%
Reliable Up$23.7539d+$0.62$-0.02 to $0.4273%65%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $29 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $381,051 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $29 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.83 / mid $1.14 · $249 this cycle
43.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$233
Annualized
47%
EV / cycle
+$80
If assigned
-$381,051
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.53/share ($1,060 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $30.18.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$29.0039d-$0.64$-1.11 to $-0.4168%56%
Ss Escape$27.2539d+$0.18$-0.21 to $0.5765%47%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $32 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $380,247 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $32 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.51 / mid $0.85 · $153 this cycle
58.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$143
Annualized
29%
EV / cycle
+$50
If assigned
-$380,247
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $3.90/share ($1,169 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $33.26.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$32.0039d-$0.87$-1.24 to $-0.2568%55%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $23 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,554 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $23 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.82 / mid $2.19 · $546 this cycle
13.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$512
Annualized
103%
EV / cycle
+$86
If assigned
-$382,554
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.80/share ($840 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $23.93.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$23.0039d-$0.27$-0.75 to $-0.4869%56%
Ss Escape$21.7539d+$0.29$-0.16 to $0.1166%49%
Safety Up$28.7539d-$1.76$-2.53 to $-2.1183%80%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-05 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.