MSTX @ $16.86

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-98.7%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,916 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.40 · $84 this cycle
18.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$315
Annualized
76%
EV / cycle
+$28
If assigned
-$383,916
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($334 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $20.77.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$20.0015d+$0.18$-0.03 to $0.2666%54%
Up And Out$20.1415d+$0.11$-0.11 to $0.1967%55%
Ss Escape$25.1443d+$0.19$-0.19 to $0.2581%78%
Safety Up$27.1443d-$0.18$-0.62 to $-0.1485%83%
Reliable Up$24.1443d+$0.41$0.07 to $0.4979%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,770 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.21 · $30 this cycle
42.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$112
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$23
If assigned
-$382,770
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.34/share ($401 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $24.92.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0015d+$0.09$0.02 to $0.4666%54%
Up And Out$24.1415d+$0.01$-0.06 to $0.3866%55%
Ss Escape$29.1443d+$0.19$-0.06 to $0.5680%76%
Safety Up$30.1443d-$0.05$-0.32 to $0.3182%78%
Reliable Up$28.1443d+$0.43$0.23 to $0.8378%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,396 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
16 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.68 / mid $0.95 · $204 this cycle
6.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$765
Annualized
184%
EV / cycle
+$34
If assigned
-$384,396
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($301 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $18.73.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$18.0015d+$0.21$-0.09 to $0.1366%54%
Up And Out$18.1415d+$0.14$-0.17 to $0.0667%56%
Ss Escape$23.1443d+$0.16$-0.36 to $0.0182%79%
Safety Up$26.1429d-$0.47$-1.06 to $-0.6490%89%
Reliable Up$22.1443d+$0.37$-0.10 to $0.2480%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $24 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,620 (premium included).
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $24 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.97 · $180 this cycle
42.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$150
Annualized
36%
EV / cycle
+$37
If assigned
-$382,620
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.71/share ($814 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $24.96.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$24.0043d-$0.34$-0.62 to $-0.2268%56%
Ss Escape$23.1443d+$0.03$-0.22 to $0.2166%51%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $26 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $382,077 (premium included).
Called-away odds15%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $26 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.76 · $123 this cycle
54.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
85%
Income / mo
$102
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$32
If assigned
-$382,077
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.94/share ($882 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $27.05.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$26.0043d-$0.47$-0.74 to $-0.1468%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $20 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $383,694 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $20 CALL
13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.52 / mid $1.82 · $456 this cycle
15.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$380
Annualized
91%
EV / cycle
+$67
If assigned
-$383,694
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.21/share ($662 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $20.28.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$19.5043d-$0.09$-0.40 to $-0.2368%56%
Ss Escape$18.6443d+$0.27$-0.02 to $0.1666%51%
Safety Up$24.6443d-$1.40$-1.96 to $-1.6583%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-08 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.