MSTX @ $11.65

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
All accounts collated · U10001299 $1,300.00 (250 sh) · U6241782 $1,300.00 (100 sh)
Accounts2 accounts
Shares350
Blended cost$1,300.00
Drawdown-99.1%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable3
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $1,300.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,758 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.39 · $42 this cycle
20.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$180
Annualized
63%
EV / cycle
+$8
If assigned
-$385,758
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.04/share ($312 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $14.60.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.0014d-$0.21$-0.59 to $-0.1664%55%
Ss Escape$15.3542d+$0.10$-0.31 to $0.1873%67%
Safety Up$15.8542d-$0.03$-0.47 to $0.0374%69%
Reliable Up$14.8542d+$0.25$-0.14 to $0.3371%64%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $16 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,170 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $16 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.24 · $30 this cycle
37.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$129
Annualized
45%
EV / cycle
+$25
If assigned
-$385,170
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($356 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $16.65.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$16.0014d-$0.29$-0.58 to $-0.0364%55%
Ss Escape$17.3542d+$0.07$-0.25 to $0.3772%66%
Safety Up$17.8542d-$0.08$-0.41 to $0.2274%68%
Reliable Up$16.8542d+$0.22$-0.07 to $0.5470%63%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $386,118 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $12 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.70 · $132 this cycle
7.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$566
Annualized
197%
EV / cycle
+$14
If assigned
-$386,118
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($278 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $13.05.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.5014d-$0.16$-0.64 to $-0.2964%55%
Ss Escape$13.8542d+$0.12$-0.43 to $-0.0473%67%
Safety Up$15.8542d-$0.35$-0.97 to $-0.5281%78%
Reliable Up$12.8542d+$0.44$-0.05 to $0.3270%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $18 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,684 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $18 CALL
11 Dec 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.59 · $66 this cycle
50.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$47
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
-$43
If assigned
-$384,684
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $17 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $384,846 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $17 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.56 · $54 this cycle
45.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$46
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
-$39
If assigned
-$384,846
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.22/share ($667 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $17.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$17.0042d-$0.78$-1.14 to $-0.6666%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $1,300.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $385,713 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $14 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.79 / mid $1.17 · $237 this cycle
15.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$203
Annualized
71%
EV / cycle
-$38
If assigned
-$385,713
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.77/share ($530 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $14.07.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.5042d-$0.50$-0.94 to $-0.6867%57%
Safety Up$13.8542d-$0.63$-1.09 to $-0.8368%60%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-30 21:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.