QQQ @ $684.51

SHALLOW UNDERWATER
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU6241782
Shares350
Avg cost$698.03
Drawdown-1.9%
IV regimeLOW
Writable3
Shallow drawdown. A normal covered call is reasonable; keep the strike at or above your $698.03 basis so assignment cannot lock a loss.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $708 CALL
9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.97 / mid $3.00 · $891 this cycle
3.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$4,455
Annualized
26%
EV / cycle
+$463
If assigned
+$3,883
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.60/share ($2,579 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $714.72.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$708.007d+$0.95$0.62 to $1.1566%51%
Up And Out$709.497d+$0.15$-0.38 to $0.2167%53%
Ss Escape$744.4945d+$0.27$-2.75 to $0.6481%76%
Safety Up$756.4945d-$2.85$-6.57 to $-2.6886%83%
Reliable Up$734.4945d+$3.75$1.22 to $4.3977%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $718 CALL
9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.38 / mid $1.40 · $414 this cycle
4.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$2,070
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$269
If assigned
+$6,406
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.72/share ($2,615 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $724.98.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$718.007d+$0.78$0.51 to $1.1066%51%
Up And Out$718.497d+$0.51$0.19 to $0.8167%51%
Ss Escape$752.4945d+$0.50$-1.99 to $1.5780%75%
Safety Up$758.4945d-$1.27$-4.02 to $-0.3383%79%
Reliable Up$744.4945d+$3.35$1.22 to $4.6377%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $694 is BELOW your $698.03 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $961 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $694 CALL
9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $7.23 / mid $7.28 · $2,169 this cycle
1.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$10,845
Annualized
64%
EV / cycle
+$735
If assigned
+$961
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.43/share ($2,528 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $700.66.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$694.007d+$1.18$0.72 to $1.0966%51%
Up And Out$695.497d+$0.38$-0.29 to $0.1867%53%
Ss Escape$732.4945d+$0.17$-4.22 to $-0.9982%77%
Safety Up$756.4945d-$4.87$-10.50 to $-6.4290%89%
Reliable Up$720.4945d+$4.28$0.68 to $3.4377%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and incomeRECOMMENDED▾
Called-away odds34%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $705 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $12.35 / mid $12.41 · $3,705 this cycle
3.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
66%
Income / mo
$3,585
Annualized
21%
EV / cycle
+$1,384
If assigned
+$5,797
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.60/share ($4,979 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $710.83.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$705.0038d+$2.42$1.17 to $2.0168%51%
Up And Out$705.4938d+$2.13$0.85 to $1.7168%52%
Ss Escape$713.4945d+$0.15$-2.07 to $-0.6671%58%
Safety Up$748.4945d-$12.22$-17.44 to $-14.4186%84%
Reliable Up$708.4945d+$2.84$0.92 to $2.2169%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Called-away odds23%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $720 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.14 / mid $7.19 · $2,142 this cycle
5.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
77%
Income / mo
$2,073
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$1,037
If assigned
+$8,734
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.95/share ($5,085 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $725.63.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$720.0038d+$1.80$0.68 to $2.1468%51%
Up And Out$720.4938d+$1.51$0.36 to $1.8468%52%
Ss Escape$726.4945d+$0.51$-1.30 to $0.8770%57%
Safety Up$742.4945d-$6.84$-9.73 to $-6.9877%70%
Reliable Up$723.4945d+$2.15$0.48 to $2.6169%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾
Annualized yield 10.0% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $725 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.81 / mid $5.86 · $1,743 this cycle
5.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$1,687
Annualized
10%
EV / cycle
+$908
If assigned
+$9,835
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $17.07/share ($5,120 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $730.91.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$725.0038d+$1.58$0.51 to $2.3368%51%
Up And Out$725.4938d+$1.30$0.19 to $2.0268%52%
Ss Escape$731.4945d+$0.27$-1.48 to $1.1570%57%
Safety Up$743.4945d-$5.48$-8.01 to $-5.0275%67%
Reliable Up$728.4945d+$1.92$0.32 to $2.9369%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-03 22:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.