QQQ @ $686.30

SHALLOW UNDERWATER
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU6241782
Shares350
Avg cost$698.03
Drawdown-1.7%
IV regimeLOW
Writable3
Shallow drawdown. A normal covered call is reasonable; keep the strike at or above your $698.03 basis so assignment cannot lock a loss.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $709 CALL
9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $2.62 / mid $2.65 · $786 this cycle
3.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$3,930
Annualized
23%
EV / cycle
+$346
If assigned
+$4,078
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.15/share ($2,445 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $715.94.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$709.007d+$0.92$0.56 to $1.0666%51%
Up And Out$710.707d+$0.05$-0.52 to $0.0267%54%
Ss Escape$747.7045d+$0.10$-3.26 to $0.0281%77%
Safety Up$758.7045d-$2.61$-6.56 to $-2.8586%83%
Reliable Up$727.7027d+$1.88$-0.46 to $2.2075%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Called-away odds12%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $716 CALL
9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $1.43 / mid $1.44 · $429 this cycle
4.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
88%
Income / mo
$2,145
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$234
If assigned
+$5,821
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $8.23/share ($2,469 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $723.49.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$716.007d+$0.81$0.53 to $1.0666%51%
Up And Out$716.707d+$0.45$0.06 to $0.6466%52%
Ss Escape$753.7045d+$0.44$-2.78 to $1.2678%74%
Safety Up$758.7045d-$1.22$-4.35 to $-0.3983%80%
Reliable Up$734.7027d+$1.68$-0.25 to $2.7575%68%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $695 is BELOW your $698.03 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $1,174 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $695 CALL
9 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $6.94 / mid $6.97 · $2,082 this cycle
1.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$10,410
Annualized
62%
EV / cycle
+$534
If assigned
+$1,174
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $7.99/share ($2,396 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $702.23.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$695.007d+$1.13$0.66 to $0.9666%51%
Up And Out$696.707d+$0.27$-0.44 to $0.0067%54%
Ss Escape$734.7045d+$0.28$-4.03 to $-1.1381%77%
Safety Up$759.7045d-$4.72$-10.41 to $-6.6890%89%
Reliable Up$709.7045d+$9.72$7.04 to $8.9272%61%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and incomeRECOMMENDED▾
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $705 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $12.90 / mid $12.96 · $3,870 this cycle
2.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$3,745
Annualized
22%
EV / cycle
+$1,242
If assigned
+$5,962
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.28/share ($4,885 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $710.93.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$705.0038d+$2.19$0.91 to $1.6967%51%
Up And Out$708.7038d+$0.16$-1.34 to $-0.4969%55%
Ss Escape$713.7045d+$0.21$-2.02 to $-0.7770%58%
Safety Up$753.7045d-$12.77$-18.43 to $-15.2988%86%
Reliable Up$708.7045d+$2.80$0.89 to $2.0368%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Called-away odds24%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $721 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $7.24 / mid $7.30 · $2,172 this cycle
5.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
76%
Income / mo
$2,102
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$930
If assigned
+$9,064
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.65/share ($4,996 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $726.81.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$721.0038d+$1.56$0.39 to $1.9167%51%
Ss Escape$728.7045d+$0.01$-1.89 to $0.2970%58%
Safety Up$744.7045d-$6.97$-10.00 to $-7.1777%70%
Reliable Up$724.7045d+$2.11$0.41 to $2.5468%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾
Annualized yield 9.3% is below the 12% floor: thin premium for this position size.
Called-away odds20%
SaferRiskier
SELL 3 × $728 CALL
4 Dec 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $5.44 / mid $5.49 · $1,632 this cycle
6.1%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
80%
Income / mo
$1,579
Annualized
9%
EV / cycle
+$786
If assigned
+$10,624
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $16.82/share ($5,045 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 15 at spot $734.28.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$728.0038d+$1.27$0.10 to $1.9567%51%
Ss Escape$734.7045d+$0.20$-1.64 to $0.8570%57%
Safety Up$746.7045d-$5.37$-7.95 to $-5.1375%67%
Reliable Up$731.7045d+$1.79$0.13 to $2.5568%54%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-04 04:55 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.