RKLB @ $72.74

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU13190865
Shares1,000
Avg cost$115.00
Drawdown-36.7%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable10
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $115.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $81 is BELOW your $115.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,170 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 10 × $81 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.83 / mid $0.89 · $830 this cycle
11.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$2,767
Annualized
46%
EV / cycle
+$393
If assigned
-$33,170
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.62/share ($2,621 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $82.74.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$81.0016d+$1.02$0.76 to $1.3367%52%
Up And Out$83.2616d+$0.10$-0.34 to $0.2971%61%
Ss Escape$88.2630d+$0.33$-0.32 to $0.5778%72%
Safety Up$93.2630d-$0.79$-1.67 to $-0.6284%82%
Reliable Up$88.2637d+$1.02$0.37 to $1.2977%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $88 is BELOW your $115.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $26,750 (premium included).
Called-away odds6%
SaferRiskier
SELL 10 × $88 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.30 · $250 this cycle
21.0%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
94%
Income / mo
$833
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$160
If assigned
-$26,750
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.85/share ($2,848 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $90.00.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$88.0016d+$0.87$0.81 to $1.4066%52%
Up And Out$89.2616d+$0.30$0.16 to $0.7869%57%
Ss Escape$95.2630d+$0.21$-0.19 to $0.6778%71%
Safety Up$100.2637d-$0.20$-0.75 to $0.2382%78%
Reliable Up$95.2637d+$0.92$0.56 to $1.4176%70%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $76 is BELOW your $115.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $37,090 (premium included).
Called-away odds35%
SaferRiskier
SELL 10 × $76 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $1.91 / mid $1.97 · $1,910 this cycle
4.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
65%
Income / mo
$6,367
Annualized
106%
EV / cycle
+$584
If assigned
-$37,090
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.46/share ($2,460 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $77.64.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$76.0016d+$1.10$0.69 to $1.0167%52%
Up And Out$78.2616d+$0.18$-0.41 to $-0.0071%62%
Ss Escape$83.2630d+$0.39$-0.50 to $0.1278%72%
Safety Up$93.2630d-$1.37$-2.68 to $-1.8090%89%
Reliable Up$83.2637d+$1.05$0.15 to $0.7977%71%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED
Strike $90 is BELOW your $115.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $23,180 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 10 × $90 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $1.82 / mid $1.96 · $1,820 this cycle
23.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$1,476
Annualized
25%
EV / cycle
+$853
If assigned
-$23,180
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds
Strike $95 is BELOW your $115.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,130 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 10 × $95 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.87 / mid $0.96 · $870 this cycle
30.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$870
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$610
If assigned
-$19,130
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $5.47/share ($5,473 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $97.00.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$95.0037d-$0.26$-0.40 to $0.5367%53%
Ss Escape$94.2637d+$0.05$-0.06 to $0.8966%51%
Safety Up$96.2637d-$0.82$-1.04 to $-0.0869%56%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income
Strike $78 is BELOW your $115.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $33,700 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 10 × $78 CALL
23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $3.30 / mid $3.82 · $3,300 this cycle
7.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$3,300
Annualized
55%
EV / cycle
+$616
If assigned
-$33,700
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $4.49/share ($4,494 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $79.69.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$78.0037d+$0.47$0.02 to $0.2867%53%
Up And Out$78.2637d+$0.36$-0.09 to $0.1668%54%
Ss Escape$78.2637d+$0.36$-0.09 to $0.1668%54%
Safety Up$90.2637d-$2.93$-4.07 to $-3.4285%83%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-23 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.