SBET @ $5.59

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.11 · $240 this cycle

16.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$720

Annualized

52%

EV / cycle

+$75

If assigned

-$47,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.31/share ($939 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	17d	-$0.24	$-0.38 to $-0.23	56%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.91	45d	+$0.02	$-0.08 to $0.04	70%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,410 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $90 this cycle

25.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$270

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$29

If assigned

-$46,410

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.34/share ($1,012 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $7.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	17d	-$0.26	$-0.37 to $-0.20	56%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.41	45d	+$0.01	$-0.05 to $0.08	70%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,020 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.19 · $480 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$1,440

Annualized

104%

EV / cycle

+$50

If assigned

-$49,020

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($867 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	17d	-$0.22	$-0.39 to $-0.27	56%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.41	45d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.00	71%	64%
Safety Up	$6.91	31d	-$0.11	$-0.24 to $-0.14	80%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.17 · $330 this cycle

34.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$261

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$20

If assigned

-$44,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.94/share ($2,832 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $7.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	45d	-$0.66	$-0.88 to $-0.57	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.17 · $330 this cycle

34.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$261

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$20

If assigned

-$44,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.94/share ($2,832 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $7.72.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	45d	-$0.66	$-0.88 to $-0.57	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.30 · $600 this cycle

16.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$581

Annualized

42%

EV / cycle

+$102

If assigned

-$47,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($2,252 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	38d	-$0.50	$-0.76 to $-0.53	61%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-07 21:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.