SBET @ $5.47

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,670 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 16 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

18.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$619

Annualized

46%

EV / cycle

+$139

If assigned

-$47,670

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($1,116 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	23d	+$0.02	$-0.01 to $0.06	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.53	23d	+$0.01	$-0.03 to $0.05	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.03	37d	+$0.00	$-0.07 to $0.03	75%	67%
Reliable Up	$7.03	44d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.09	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 23 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

46.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$196

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$103

If assigned

-$43,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,655 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $8.22.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	30d	-$0.09	$-0.09 to $0.02	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$8.03	37d	+$0.00	$0.00 to $0.13	68%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,140 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.14 · $360 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

89%

EV / cycle

+$96

If assigned

-$49,140

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.27/share ($820 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	16d	+$0.07	$0.02 to $0.07	67%	53%
Up And Out	$6.03	16d	+$0.05	$0.00 to $0.06	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$6.53	30d	+$0.03	$-0.06 to $0.02	76%	69%
Safety Up	$7.53	37d	-$0.09	$-0.21 to $-0.10	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$6.53	44d	+$0.16	$0.07 to $0.16	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.24 · $600 this cycle

27.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$486

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$280

If assigned

-$45,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($1,910 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$6.53	44d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.25	63%	41%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.09 · $210 this cycle

46.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$210

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$102

If assigned

-$43,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($1,871 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$8.00	37d	-$0.10	$-0.10 to $0.00	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.53	37d	+$0.16	$0.20 to $0.32	62%	38%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.43 · $1,200 this cycle

9.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$973

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$299

If assigned

-$48,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($1,637 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $6.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$5.53	44d	+$0.23	$0.16 to $0.20	63%	40%
Safety Up	$6.53	44d	-$0.23	$-0.34 to $-0.28	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-08 03:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.