SBET @ $5.39

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-76.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.06 · $60 this cycle

20.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

-$14

If assigned

-$47,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.30/share ($896 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	16d	-$0.13	$-0.21 to $-0.06	60%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.11	44d	+$0.04	$-0.02 to $0.12	75%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.24 · $240 this cycle

48.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$164

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$154

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds24%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

76%

Income / mo

$1,100

Annualized

83%

EV / cycle

+$105

If assigned

-$49,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.28/share ($827 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $6.14.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	16d	-$0.11	$-0.22 to $-0.11	60%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.61	44d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.06	75%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.15 · $240 this cycle

39.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$195

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$132

If assigned

-$44,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($2,804 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	44d	-$0.40	$-0.52 to $-0.26	68%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.24 · $240 this cycle

48.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$164

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$154

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,510 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 44 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.53 · $990 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$675

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$153

If assigned

-$48,510

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-08 21:36 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.