SBET @ $5.49

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

18.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$600

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$132

If assigned

-$47,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,050 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	22d	+$0.03	$0.00 to $0.07	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.51	22d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.06	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.01	36d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.04	75%	68%
Reliable Up	$7.01	43d	+$0.08	$0.01 to $0.11	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $60 this cycle

27.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$225

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$41

If assigned

-$46,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.30/share ($888 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	15d	+$0.05	$0.05 to $0.13	67%	53%
Up And Out	$7.01	15d	+$0.05	$0.04 to $0.13	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.51	29d	+$0.02	$-0.01 to $0.11	76%	68%
Safety Up	$8.02	36d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.07	81%	76%
Reliable Up	$7.51	43d	+$0.18	$0.16 to $0.27	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$1,238

Annualized

91%

EV / cycle

+$109

If assigned

-$49,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.25/share ($761 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	15d	+$0.07	$0.03 to $0.08	67%	53%
Up And Out	$6.01	15d	+$0.07	$0.02 to $0.08	67%	54%
Ss Escape	$7.01	36d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $0.00	82%	78%
Safety Up	$7.51	36d	-$0.07	$-0.19 to $-0.09	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$6.51	43d	+$0.18	$0.11 to $0.19	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.23 · $570 this cycle

27.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$475

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$280

If assigned

-$45,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($1,783 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $7.20.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$6.51	43d	+$0.20	$0.17 to $0.28	63%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $41,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.26 · $240 this cycle

55.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$15

If assigned

-$41,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($2,165 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $8.75.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$8.02	43d	+$0.10	$0.12 to $0.32	62%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,330 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.43 · $1,170 this cycle

9.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$975

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$328

If assigned

-$48,330

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($1,528 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $6.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$5.51	43d	+$0.26	$0.20 to $0.24	63%	39%
Safety Up	$7.51	43d	-$0.38	$-0.53 to $-0.45	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.