SBET @ $5.33

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-76.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 15 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.40 · $150 this cycle

22.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$32

If assigned

-$47,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($1,668 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $6.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	22d	-$0.41	$-0.59 to $-0.35	59%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.17 · $240 this cycle

50.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$167

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$187

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 29 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.49 · $750 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$776

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$273

If assigned

-$48,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($2,524 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	36d	-$0.59	$-0.91 to $-0.65	62%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,760 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.15 · $240 this cycle

40.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$200

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

-$30

If assigned

-$44,760

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.09/share ($3,261 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $7.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	43d	-$0.67	$-0.84 to $-0.47	65%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,260 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.17 · $240 this cycle

50.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$167

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$187

If assigned

-$43,260

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,480 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.54 · $1,020 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$712

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$180

If assigned

-$48,480

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-09 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.