SBET @ $5.37

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-76.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.09 · $210 this cycle

11.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$88

If assigned

-$49,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.23/share ($694 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	14d	+$0.09	$0.06 to $0.11	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.13	14d	+$0.02	$-0.03 to $0.03	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$6.63	28d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.05	78%	72%
Safety Up	$7.63	42d	-$0.03	$-0.13 to $-0.02	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$6.63	42d	+$0.16	$0.09 to $0.18	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle

39.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$214

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$106

If assigned

-$44,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($1,401 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $7.69.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	28d	-$0.03	$-0.02 to $0.09	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.63	35d	+$0.01	$0.01 to $0.14	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $450 this cycle

11.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$964

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$196

If assigned

-$49,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.29/share ($880 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	21d	+$0.08	$0.05 to $0.10	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.13	21d	+$0.02	$-0.02 to $0.02	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$6.63	35d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.02	78%	71%
Safety Up	$7.63	42d	-$0.12	$-0.22 to $-0.12	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$6.63	42d	+$0.07	$0.00 to $0.08	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.22 · $600 this cycle

30.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$429

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$273

If assigned

-$45,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.12 · $330 this cycle

49.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$236

Annualized

18%

EV / cycle

+$180

If assigned

-$43,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,480 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.38 · $1,020 this cycle

11.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$874

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$327

If assigned

-$48,480

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($1,575 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $6.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	42d	-$0.00	$-0.06 to $-0.02	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$5.63	42d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.16	64%	42%
Safety Up	$6.63	42d	-$0.25	$-0.36 to $-0.29	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 03:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.