SBET @ $5.33

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-76.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.08 · $210 this cycle

12.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$96

If assigned

-$49,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.24/share ($720 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	14d	+$0.09	$0.05 to $0.11	68%	53%
Up And Out	$6.17	14d	+$0.01	$-0.04 to $0.02	71%	61%
Ss Escape	$6.67	28d	+$0.00	$-0.07 to $0.01	79%	74%
Safety Up	$7.67	42d	-$0.06	$-0.17 to $-0.06	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$6.67	42d	+$0.13	$0.05 to $0.14	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,880 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.07 · $120 this cycle

40.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$171

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$78

If assigned

-$44,880

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($1,477 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $7.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.50	28d	-$0.07	$-0.07 to $0.07	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.17	28d	+$0.09	$0.13 to $0.27	62%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,930 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.21 · $570 this cycle

12.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$814

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$205

If assigned

-$48,930

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.39/share ($1,182 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $6.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	28d	-$0.00	$-0.06 to $0.00	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.17	35d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.00	71%	59%
Safety Up	$6.67	35d	-$0.15	$-0.26 to $-0.18	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $45,960 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.22 · $540 this cycle

31.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$386

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$200

If assigned

-$45,960

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds12%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.14 · $300 this cycle

50.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

88%

Income / mo

$214

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$143

If assigned

-$43,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.30 / mid $0.36 · $900 this cycle

12.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$771

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$280

If assigned

-$48,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($1,620 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $6.16.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	42d	-$0.03	$-0.10 to $-0.05	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$5.67	42d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.11	64%	43%
Safety Up	$6.67	42d	-$0.29	$-0.41 to $-0.33	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 11:41 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.