SBET @ $5.54

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares3,000
Avg cost$22.50
Drawdown-75.4%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable30
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,850 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
24 Jul 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.11 · $150 this cycle
17.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$321
Annualized
24%
EV / cycle
-$21
If assigned
-$47,850
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,050 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $6.67.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$6.5021d-$0.26$-0.39 to $-0.2456%53%
Ss Escape$6.9642d+$0.10$0.03 to $0.1374%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,850 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
31 Jul 2026 · 21 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.08 · $150 this cycle
35.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$214
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
+$80
If assigned
-$44,850
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($2,363 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 14 at spot $7.70.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$7.5028d-$0.64$-0.78 to $-0.4558%53%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,200 (premium included).
Called-away odds26%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $300 this cycle
8.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
74%
Income / mo
$1,286
Annualized
94%
EV / cycle
+$96
If assigned
-$49,200
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.23/share ($691 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.16.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$6.0014d+$0.09$0.05 to $0.1067%53%
Ss Escape$6.4635d+$0.12$0.04 to $0.1275%67%
Safety Up$6.4614d-$0.07$-0.16 to $-0.0878%73%
Reliable Up$6.4642d+$0.23$0.15 to $0.2375%66%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,670 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.17 · $330 this cycle
35.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$283
Annualized
21%
EV / cycle
-$8
If assigned
-$44,670
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,230 (premium included).
Called-away odds14%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $8 CALL
21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.14 · $270 this cycle
44.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
86%
Income / mo
$193
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$51
If assigned
-$43,230
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,420 (premium included).
Called-away odds38%
SaferRiskier
SELL 30 × $6 CALL
14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.49 · $1,080 this cycle
8.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
62%
Income / mo
$926
Annualized
68%
EV / cycle
+$260
If assigned
-$48,420
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.