SBET @ $5.54

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 14 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.11 · $150 this cycle

17.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$321

Annualized

24%

EV / cycle

-$28

If assigned

-$47,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.35/share ($1,059 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $6.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	21d	-$0.27	$-0.39 to $-0.24	57%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.96	42d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.12	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,440 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.04 · $60 this cycle

26.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$257

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$40

If assigned

-$46,440

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.25/share ($742 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $7.19.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$7.00	14d	+$0.09	$0.08 to $0.15	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$7.46	35d	+$0.13	$0.10 to $0.20	74%	66%
Reliable Up	$7.46	42d	+$0.24	$0.21 to $0.31	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds26%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.12 · $300 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

74%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

94%

EV / cycle

+$90

If assigned

-$49,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.21/share ($636 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.17.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	14d	+$0.11	$0.07 to $0.11	67%	53%
Ss Escape	$6.46	35d	+$0.14	$0.07 to $0.14	75%	67%
Safety Up	$7.96	35d	-$0.10	$-0.22 to $-0.12	87%	86%
Reliable Up	$6.46	42d	+$0.23	$0.17 to $0.24	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $44,640 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.16 · $360 this cycle

35.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$309

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$50

If assigned

-$44,640

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,170 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.14 · $330 this cycle

44.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$236

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$125

If assigned

-$43,170

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,420 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.49 · $1,080 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$926

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$281

If assigned

-$48,420

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-10 22:06 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.