SBET @ $5.45

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares3,000

Avg cost$22.50

Drawdown-75.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable30

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $22.50 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.08 · $210 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$1,050

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$137

If assigned

-$49,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.20/share ($603 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	13d	+$0.08	$0.04 to $0.09	66%	53%
Up And Out	$6.05	13d	+$0.05	$0.00 to $0.06	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$7.05	34d	+$0.01	$-0.08 to $0.01	83%	80%
Safety Up	$7.55	34d	-$0.06	$-0.16 to $-0.06	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$6.55	41d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.20	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $47,940 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.02 / mid $0.03 · $60 this cycle

19.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$300

Annualized

22%

EV / cycle

+$54

If assigned

-$47,940

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.22/share ($653 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $6.65.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.50	13d	+$0.07	$0.06 to $0.12	66%	52%
Up And Out	$6.55	13d	+$0.04	$0.02 to $0.09	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$7.55	34d	+$0.00	$-0.04 to $0.06	83%	79%
Safety Up	$8.05	41d	-$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.04	84%	82%
Reliable Up	$7.05	41d	+$0.19	$0.16 to $0.25	74%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $49,110 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 13 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $390 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$900

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$105

If assigned

-$49,110

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.28/share ($834 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$6.00	20d	+$0.06	$0.02 to $0.06	66%	53%
Up And Out	$6.05	20d	+$0.03	$-0.02 to $0.03	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$6.55	34d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.01	76%	70%
Safety Up	$7.55	41d	-$0.11	$-0.21 to $-0.12	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$6.55	41d	+$0.08	$0.01 to $0.08	75%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $7 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $46,080 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $7 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.19 · $420 this cycle

28.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$371

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$226

If assigned

-$46,080

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($1,770 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $7.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$6.55	41d	+$0.13	$0.08 to $0.19	62%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $8 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $43,290 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $8 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.07 / mid $0.11 · $210 this cycle

46.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$185

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$118

If assigned

-$43,290

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($2,022 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $8.21.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$7.55	41d	+$0.06	$0.06 to $0.23	61%	40%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $6 is BELOW your $22.50 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $48,540 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 30 × $6 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.39 · $960 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$847

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$252

If assigned

-$48,540

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($1,517 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $6.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Ss Escape	$5.55	41d	+$0.18	$0.11 to $0.17	62%	39%
Safety Up	$6.55	41d	-$0.24	$-0.34 to $-0.28	76%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-11 03:40 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.